Sport Picks
Ascoli vs Vis Pesaro Prediction & H2H Stats
Italy
Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca, Ascoli Piceno 
Match Events
15'
15'
Lari N.
19'
19'
Paganini L.
22'
22'
Guiebre A.
AI Match Summary
Ascoli in this Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ascoli.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
65%
15%
20%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ascoli
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Ascoli lately — more wins on the board than Vis Pesaro.
- Model gives Ascoli a 65% chance of winning this.
- Regular Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Ascoli Clean Sheet 20%
Vis Pesaro Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ascoli | Vis Pesaro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 18 | 7 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 7 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.72 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.86 | 1.8 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 4, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Ascoli vs Vis Pesaro
2:1
Dec 1, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Vis Pesaro vs Ascoli
1:1
Mar 30, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Ascoli vs Vis Pesaro
0:0
Nov 15, 2024 Serie C - Group B
Vis Pesaro vs Ascoli
1:1
Sep 6, 2020 Club Friendly
Vis Pesaro vs Ascoli
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ascoli Compare
Top Goalscorer Chakir M. A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Milanese T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Vis Pesaro Compare
Top Goalscorer Lari N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ascoli 85 / 100
Vis Pesaro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ascoli Vis Pesaro
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ascoli Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ascoli scored in 83% of their last 29 games.
Vis Pesaro has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.
Ascoli has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Ascoli VS Vis Pesaro
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Ascoli
(Home) 19 Sept
Ascoli
3 : 1 Avellino
12 Sept
Padova
1 : 0 Ascoli
05 Sept
Ascoli
1 : 0 Benevento
29 Aug
Ascoli
1 : 1 Carrarese
23 Aug
Verona
1 : 2 Ascoli
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Ascoli
3 : 1 Avellino
05 Sept
Ascoli
1 : 0 Benevento
29 Aug
Ascoli
1 : 1 Carrarese
08 Aug
Ascoli
3 : 1 Potenza
02 Aug
Ascoli
1 : 2 Lazio
Page 1 of 3
Vis Pesaro
(Away) 27 Sept
Vis Pesaro
2 : 1 Guidonia 1937
21 Sept
Spezia
3 : 1 Vis Pesaro
16 Sept
Vis Pesaro
1 : 4 Reggiana
12 Sept
Forli FC
2 : 1 Vis Pesaro
05 Sept
Vis Pesaro
1 : 2 Ostiamare
Page 1 of 6
21 Sept
Spezia
3 : 1 Vis Pesaro
12 Sept
Forli FC
2 : 1 Vis Pesaro
02 Sept
Gubbio
5 : 0 Vis Pesaro
22 Aug
Pescara
2 : 0 Vis Pesaro
15 Aug
Perugia
1 : 2 Vis Pesaro
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arezzo | 36 | 24 | 8 | 4 | 64:24 | 80 |
| 2 | Ascoli | 36 | 23 | 8 | 5 | 63:23 | 77 |
| 3 | Ravenna | 36 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 50:30 | 73 |
| 4 | Campobasso | 36 | 17 | 10 | 9 | 49:37 | 59 |
| 5 | Juventus U23 | 36 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 46:43 | 53 |
| 6 | Pianese | 36 | 11 | 17 | 8 | 37:34 | 50 |
| 7 | Pineto | 36 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 42:45 | 50 |
| 8 | Gubbio | 36 | 11 | 15 | 10 | 31:32 | 48 |
| 9 | Ternana | 36 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 44:40 | 48 |
| 10 | Vis Pesaro | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 38:36 | 46 |
| 11 | Livorno | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 39:51 | 43 |
| 12 | Forli FC | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 41:52 | 40 |
| 13 | Carpi | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 35:48 | 40 |
| 14 | Perugia | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 38:44 | 38 |
| 15 | Guidonia 1937 | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 30:36 | 38 |
| 16 | Sambenedettese | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 30:37 | 37 |
| 17 | Sassari Torres | 36 | 6 | 18 | 12 | 32:45 | 36 |
| 18 | Bra | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 37:54 | 32 |
| 19 | US Pontedera | 36 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 27:62 | 20 |
| 20 | Rimini | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)
