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ASEC Mimosas vs Agboville

Ivory Coast Ivory Coast

Ligue 1 Stade Félix Houphouët-Boigny, Abidjan
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AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 game between ASEC Mimosas and Agboville finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward ASEC Mimosas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
ASEC Mimosas
39%
Draws
31%
Agboville
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Agboville haven't matched ASEC Mimosas's recent run of results.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
ASEC Mimosas Clean Sheet 20%
Agboville Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASEC Mimosas Agboville
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 8
Draws 6 10
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.75 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.38 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2026 Ligue 1
ASEC Mimosas vs Agboville
1:0
Oct 5, 2025 Ligue 1
Agboville vs ASEC Mimosas
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASEC Mimosas 31 / 100
Agboville 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASEC Mimosas Agboville

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ASEC Mimosas's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

ASEC Mimosas has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Agboville's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

ASEC Mimosas VS Agboville
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

ASEC Mimosas

(Home)
24 May
ASEC Mimosas
0 : 1
Olympique Sport
17 May
Zoman
1 : 1
ASEC Mimosas
10 May
San Pedro
0 : 2
ASEC Mimosas
04 May
ASEC Mimosas
1 : 0
ISCA
26 Apr
Bouake
1 : 0
ASEC Mimosas
Page 1 of 6

Agboville

(Away)
24 May
Agboville
0 : 0
Tchologo
17 May
Agboville
0 : 1
ISCA
11 May
Mouna
1 : 1
Agboville
03 May
Agboville
1 : 0
Racing d'Abidjan
25 Apr
Agboville
2 : 1
San Pedro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1ASEC Mimosas30195650:2162
2San Pedro301410643:3252
3Academie de FAD30148840:2450
4Mouna301461042:3048
5Tchologo30129929:2945
6Stade d'Abidjan301271130:2843
7Stella Adjame301191028:2842
8SOL301231533:4639
9Korhogo301081231:3238
10Bouake309111024:2538
11SO Armee309101123:2337
12ISCA301061416:2736
13Agboville308101220:3034
14Zoman30891320:3233
15Olympique Sport30881427:4032
16Racing d'Abidjan30691524:3327
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2026/2027 (Qualification)