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ASFAN vs Urana

Niger Niger

Super Ligue 2025/2026 Stade du Camp Bagagi Iya, Niamey
ASFAN Logo

ASFAN

2 - 1
FT
Urana Logo

Urana

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

ASFAN in this Super Ligue 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored ASFAN.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
ASFAN
30%
Draws
23%
Urana
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: ASFAN

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to ASFAN lately — more wins on the board than Urana.
  • Model gives ASFAN a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and ASFAN have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
ASFAN Clean Sheet 20%
Urana Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASFAN Urana
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 9
Draws 7 9
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.3 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Super Ligue
Urana vs ASFAN
1:2
Jan 24, 2026 Super Ligue
ASFAN vs Urana
2:1
Jun 20, 2025 Super Ligue
ASFAN vs Urana
1:0
Dec 3, 2024 Super Ligue
Urana vs ASFAN
2:3
May 20, 2024 Super Ligue
ASFAN vs Urana
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASFAN 85 / 100
Urana 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASFAN Urana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASFAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ASFAN's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Urana conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: ASFAN stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

ASFAN VS Urana
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

ASFAN

(Home)
19 Sept
Tagour
1 : 2
ASFAN
12 Sept
ASFAN
2 : 0
Douanes Niamey
06 Sept
Niima
1 : 1
ASFAN
18 Jun
Douanes Niamey
1 : 0
ASFAN
09 Jun
AS ZAM
0 : 2
ASFAN
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Urana

(Away)
18 Sept
US Gendarmerie
4 : 0
Urana
12 Sept
Urana
0 : 0
Liberte
06 Sept
Urana
2 : 1
AS UAM
20 Jun
US Gendarmerie
0 : 0
Urana
17 Jun
Tagour
3 : 0
Urana
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nigelec 30 20 6 4 48:24 66
2 US Gendarmerie 30 17 9 4 48:17 60
3 ASFAN 30 16 7 7 38:24 55
4 AS Garde Nationale 30 14 11 5 38:21 53
5 Police 30 14 9 7 39:21 51
6 Douanes Niamey 30 12 11 7 33:21 47
7 Espoir 30 9 10 11 31:35 37
8 AS ZAM 30 10 7 13 39:46 37
9 Sahel 30 10 5 15 21:23 35
10 JS Tahoua 30 10 5 15 36:51 35
11 Tagour 30 7 12 11 32:40 33
12 Urana 30 8 9 13 28:36 33
13 Liberte 30 7 11 12 28:46 32
14 AS UAM 30 8 8 14 25:34 32
15 Olympic Niamey 30 5 10 15 24:44 25
16 Renaissance 30 4 8 18 23:48 20
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)