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Stadium Background

Ashford Town vs Herne Bay

England England

FA Cup 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Herne Bay in this FA Cup 2024/2025 tie, finishing 0-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Ashford Town
20%
Draws
40%
Herne Bay
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Herne Bay lately — more wins on the board than Ashford Town.
  • Model gives Ashford Town a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Herne Bay arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Herne Bay, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Ashford Town Clean Sheet 14%
Herne Bay Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ashford Town Herne Bay
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 4 4
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 1.6 1.57
Goals Conceded 2.43 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2024 FA Cup
Ashford Town vs Herne Bay
0:2
Sep 3, 2016 FA Cup
Herne Bay vs Ashford Town
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ashford Town 48 / 100
Herne Bay 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ashford Town Herne Bay

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ashford Town Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Herne Bay's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Ashford Town found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Ashford Town stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ashford Town VS Herne Bay
2.13 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
88% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ashford Town

(Home)
01 Aug
Ashford Town
1 : 4
Hanworth Villa
25 Jul
Leatherhead
1 : 1
Ashford Town
21 Jul
Ashford Town
0 : 1
Tadley Calleva
18 Jul
Marlow
1 : 3
Ashford Town
14 Jul
Alton FC
0 : 4
Ashford Town
Page 1 of 6

Herne Bay

(Away)
12 Sept
Herne Bay
0 : 1
Southall FC
29 Aug
Herne Bay
4 : 3
Kingstonian
28 Jul
Dover Ath.
2 : 2
Herne Bay
07 Jul
Chatham
0 : 2
Herne Bay
06 Sept
Herne Bay
0 : 3
Ashford United
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Rushall -
TBD -
Sheffield FC 5
Pontefract Collieries 0
Mickleover 5
Coleshill Town 0
Anstey Nomads 3
Alvechurch 1
Aveley -
TBD -
Royston Town 4
Bedford 1
Enfield Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Peterborough Sports -
Tamworth -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tadcaster Albion 0
Macclesfield 3
TBD -
South Shields -
Crook Town 2
Ashington 1
Witton Albion 3
City Of Liverpool 2
Oldham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Halifax -
Hartlepool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Truro -
TBD -
TBD -
Brackley -
Ramsgate 3
Folkestone 1
Broadbridge Heath 3
Faversham 1
Newcastle Benfield 2
Prescot Cables 1
Whitchurch Alport 2
Wythenshawe Town 3
Farsley -
TBD -
Newcastle Blue Star 2
Hallam 3
Harpenden Town 2
St Ives Town 5
Hitchin 0
Berkhamsted Town 2
Kettering 2
Stafford 1
Malvern Town 0
Cleethorpes 1
Altrincham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Solihull Moors -
AFC Fylde -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rochdale -
Bamber Bridge 2
Newton Aycliffe 3
Warrington Rylands 4
Thackley 0
Birtley Town 1
Dunston 5
TBD -
Scarborough Athletic -
Stockton 1
Widnes FC 0
TBD -
Marine -
Chester -
TBD -
Workington 0
Hebburn Town 1
Basildon 0
Biggleswade FC 1
AFC Dunstable 1
Sudbury 0
Canvey Island 2
Milton Keynes Irish 1
Felixstowe & Walton 5
Leverstock Green 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
York City -
Harborough 3
Darlaston Town (1874) 2
Dudley 0
Stourbridge 5
Leamington -
TBD -
Carlton Town 1
Stamford 0
Warrington Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Radcliffe -
Campion 2
Blyth Spartans 4
Garforth 0
Bury FC 2
Southport -
TBD -
United of Manchester 3
Hyde 4
Curzon Ashton -
TBD -
Lancaster 0
Barnoldswick Town 1
Stratford 2
Worksop 3
Basford Utd. 6
Sporting Khalsa 1
King’s Lynn -
TBD -
Great Yarmouth Town 1
Cheshunt 2
West Didsbury & Chorlton 4
Silsden 2
TBD -
Darlington FC -
Gainsborough 2
Telford 1
Grantham Town 1
Newark and Sherwood 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Boston United -
Wellingborough 0
Shifnal Town 2
Redditch 3
Halesowen 2
Barton Town 0
Rugby 1
Melton Town 1
Hednesford 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gateshead -
Billericay 1
Bowers & Pitsea 2
Harleston Town 2
Biggleswade Town 4
Spalding United 1
Matlock 0
TBD -
Alfreton -
Spennymoor -
TBD -
Morpeth 1
AFC Emley 0
Mossley AFC 6
Whitby 5
TBD -
Chorley -
Buxton -
TBD -
Barwell 3
Kidsgrove Athletic 0
Kidderminster -
TBD -
Leek Town 2
Ashby Ivanhoe 0
Guiseley 3
Ashton United 0
1874 Northwich 3
Stocksbridge 2
Newcastle Town 2
Long Eaton 1
TBD -
Scunthorpe -
Swindon Supermarine 1
Poole Town 3
Taunton Town 3
Didcot 0
Burgess Hill 2
Croydon Athletic 1
Athletic Newham FC 3
Amersham Town 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maidenhead -
Aylesbury Vale 0
Bognor Regis 3
Margate 3
Hayes & Yeading 1
Horsham FC 4
Virginia Water 0
TBD -
Dorking Wanderers -
Gorleston 1
Walthamstow FC 0
Neots 4
Barking 5
Needham Market -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Albans -
Aldershot -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fleet Town 2
AFC Stoneham 4
TBD -
Salisbury -
Bath City -
TBD -
Merthyr Town 3
Cribbs 2
Eastleigh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Southend -
Sheppey United 1
Hanwell Town 7
Chertsey Town 3
Raynes Park Vale 2
Ashford United 6
Three Bridges 1
Punjab United 0
Corinthian 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sutton -
Eastbourne Borough -
TBD -
TBD -
Boreham Wood -
Easington Sports 2
Frome Town 3
Barnstaple Town 1
Larkhall 2
Carshalton 3
Haywards Heath 1
Bracknell Town 0
South Park 1
Bideford 0
Melksham 1
Banbury 2
Dorchester 0
Brightlingsea 2
Haringey Borough 3
FC Witham Town 1
Sheringham 0
Lowestoft 6
Potters 2
Newmarket 2
Ipswich Wanderers 1
Hartpury University 0
Nailsea & Tickenham 2
TBD -
Chippenham Town -
Tiverton 0
Wimborne 3
TBD -
Weston-super-Mare -
Wealdstone -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Oxford City -
TBD -
Willand Rovers 1
Brixham 0
Gosport Borough 4
Andover New Street 0
Gloucester City 2
Paulton Rovers 0
Enfield FC 0
Brentwood 5
Leiston 4
Waltham Abbey 1
Hornchurch -
TBD -
Hashtag 2
Stotfold 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dagenham & Red. -
Barnet -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tilbury 4
Brantham 3
TBD -
Chelmsford -
Belper Town 3
Bromsgrove 4
Bottesford Town 1
Loughborough Students 0
Bishops Cleeve 3
Laverstock & Ford 2
TBD -
Torquay -
Badshot Lea 1
Cray Valley 3
TBD -
Chesham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Yeovil -
Larkfield & New Hythe FC 1
Cray Wanderers 9
Thame United 0
Wingate & Finchley 4
Hastings 3
Redhill 1
Harefield United 2
Lewes 1
Tonbridge -
TBD -
Steyning Town 1
Merstham 2
Hanworth Villa 5
Walton & Hersham 7
TBD -
Farnborough -
Woking -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Welling -
TBD -
Westfield 0
Chatham 2
Kingstonian 1
Chichester City 4
TBD -
Slough Town -
Forest Green -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tavistock 0
Winchester City 1
Hungerford 1
Yate 0
Basingstoke 1
Sholing 3
TBD -
Weymouth -
Ashford Town 0
Herne Bay 2
Hendon 3
Whitehawk 0
Maidstone -
TBD -
TBD -
Hampton & Richmond -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ebbsfleet -
Lordswood 3
Binfield 1
Sittingbourne 3
Dover Ath. 2
Plymouth Parkway 4
Baffins Milton Rovers 1
Westbury United 3
AFC Totton 1
Worthing FC -
TBD -
Havant & Waterlooville 3
Wallingford & Crowmarsh 0
Dartford 6
Marlow 2
Dulwich Hamlet 2
Leatherhead 3
Braintree -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hemel Hempstead -
TBD -
Stortford 5
Cornard United 0
Hereford -
TBD -
Heanor Town 0
Ilkeston 1
Quarter-finals
Rushall 5
Sheffield FC 0
Mickleover 0
Anstey Nomads 1
Aveley 1
Royston Town 2
Enfield Town 0
Peterborough Sports 1
Tamworth -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Macclesfield 5
South Shields 0
Crook Town 1
Witton Albion 2
Oldham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Halifax -
Hartlepool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Truro 0
Brackley 2
Ramsgate 1
Broadbridge Heath 0
Newcastle Benfield 0
Wythenshawe Town 1
Farsley 3
Hallam 1
St Ives Town 5
Berkhamsted Town 0
Kettering 1
Cleethorpes 0
Altrincham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Solihull Moors -
AFC Fylde -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rochdale -
Newton Aycliffe 2
Warrington Rylands 4
Dunston 3
Scarborough Athletic 6
Stockton 3
Marine 2
Chester 3
Hebburn Town 0
Biggleswade FC 2
AFC Dunstable 1
Canvey Island 2
Felixstowe & Walton 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
York City -
Harborough 4
Stourbridge 2
Leamington 1
Carlton Town 0
Warrington Town 1
Radcliffe 2
Blyth Spartans 0
Bury FC 3
Southport 2
Hyde 1
Curzon Ashton 6
Barnoldswick Town 0
Worksop 6
Basford Utd. 3
King’s Lynn 1
Cheshunt 0
West Didsbury & Chorlton 1
Darlington FC 2
Gainsborough 2
Grantham Town 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Boston United -
Shifnal Town 2
Redditch 1
Rugby 3
Hednesford 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gateshead -
Bowers & Pitsea 1
Biggleswade Town 2
Spalding United 1
Alfreton 2
Spennymoor 3
Morpeth 1
Mossley AFC 0
Chorley 3
Buxton 4
Barwell 3
Kidderminster 2
Leek Town 1
Guiseley 3
1874 Northwich 0
Newcastle Town 1
Scunthorpe 6
Poole Town 2
Taunton Town 3
Burgess Hill 2
Amersham Town 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maidenhead -
Bognor Regis 0
Margate 4
Horsham FC 1
Dorking Wanderers 0
Gorleston 3
Barking 2
Needham Market 0
St. Albans 3
Aldershot -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AFC Stoneham 1
Salisbury 7
Bath City 2
Merthyr Town 1
Eastleigh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Southend -
Hanwell Town 0
Chertsey Town 2
Ashford United 3
Corinthian 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sutton -
Eastbourne Borough 0
Boreham Wood 1
Frome Town 0
Larkhall 1
Carshalton 1
South Park 0
Melksham 4
Banbury 3
Haringey Borough 3
FC Witham Town 2
Lowestoft 5
Newmarket 2
Nailsea & Tickenham 1
Chippenham Town 6
Wimborne 0
Weston-super-Mare 2
Wealdstone -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Oxford City 6
Willand Rovers 0
Gosport Borough 4
Gloucester City 2
Brentwood 3
Leiston 5
Hornchurch 2
Hashtag 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dagenham & Red. -
Barnet -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tilbury 0
Chelmsford 2
Bromsgrove 2
Bottesford Town 0
Bishops Cleeve 3
Torquay 0
Cray Valley 0
Chesham 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Yeovil -
Cray Wanderers 2
Wingate & Finchley 1
Hastings 1
Harefield United 0
Tonbridge 2
Merstham 1
Walton & Hersham 2
Farnborough 1
Woking -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Welling 0
Chatham 1
Chichester City 3
Slough Town 4
Forest Green -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Winchester City 2
Hungerford 1
Sholing 1
Weymouth 4
Herne Bay 3
Hendon 0
Maidstone 2
Hampton & Richmond 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ebbsfleet -
Lordswood 0
Sittingbourne 1
Plymouth Parkway 4
Westbury United 3
Worthing FC 3
Havant & Waterlooville 2
Dartford 2
Leatherhead 0
Braintree -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hemel Hempstead 0
Stortford 1
Hereford 2
Ilkeston 1
Semi-finals
Rushall 2
Anstey Nomads 1
Royston Town 0
Peterborough Sports 1
Tamworth -
TBD -
Macclesfield 6
Witton Albion 1
Oldham -
TBD -
TBD -
Halifax -
Hartlepool -
TBD -
Brackley 4
Ramsgate 1
Wythenshawe Town 0
Farsley 1
St Ives Town 0
Kettering 3
Altrincham -
TBD -
TBD -
Solihull Moors -
AFC Fylde -
TBD -
TBD -
Rochdale -
Warrington Rylands 0
Scarborough Athletic 2
Stockton 1
Chester 2
Biggleswade FC 1
Canvey Island 0
TBD -
York City -
Harborough 1
Leamington 0
Radcliffe 2
Bury FC 3
Southport 0
Curzon Ashton 1
Worksop 1
King’s Lynn 2
Darlington FC 1
Gainsborough 2
TBD -
Boston United -
Shifnal Town 0
Hednesford 1
TBD -
Gateshead -
Biggleswade Town 0
Alfreton 6
Spennymoor 1
Chorley 0
Buxton 1
Kidderminster 3
Guiseley 1
Scunthorpe 0
Taunton Town 2
Amersham Town 1
TBD -
Maidenhead -
Margate 1
Horsham FC 3
Gorleston 4
St. Albans 2
Aldershot -
TBD -
Salisbury 1
Bath City 2
Eastleigh -
TBD -
TBD -
Southend -
Chertsey Town 3
Ashford United 2
TBD -
Sutton -
Boreham Wood 2
Larkhall 1
Carshalton 3
Melksham 2
Haringey Borough 4
Lowestoft 6
Chippenham Town 1
Weston-super-Mare 2
Wealdstone -
TBD -
Oxford City 2
Gosport Borough 3
Leiston 4
Hornchurch 2
TBD -
Dagenham & Red. -
Barnet -
TBD -
Chelmsford 2
Bromsgrove 1
Bishops Cleeve 0
Chesham 4
TBD -
Yeovil -
Cray Wanderers 3
Hastings 0
Tonbridge 2
Walton & Hersham 1
Woking -
TBD -
Chatham 0
Slough Town 3
Forest Green -
TBD -
Winchester City 2
Weymouth 5
Herne Bay 0
Maidstone 1
TBD -
Ebbsfleet -
Sittingbourne 0
Plymouth Parkway 3
Worthing FC 3
Dartford 1
Braintree -
TBD -
Stortford 3
Hereford 2
Final
Rushall 2
Peterborough Sports 1
Tamworth 4
Macclesfield 2
Oldham 4
Halifax 2
Hartlepool 2
Brackley 4
Farsley 1
Kettering 2
Altrincham 3
Solihull Moors 4
AFC Fylde 1
Rochdale 4
Scarborough Athletic 3
Chester 1
Biggleswade FC 1
York City 3
Harborough 1
Bury FC 0
Curzon Ashton 1
King’s Lynn 0
Gainsborough 6
Boston United 2
Hednesford 4
Gateshead 2
Alfreton 1
Spennymoor 0
Kidderminster 0
Guiseley 1
Taunton Town 1
Maidenhead 4
Horsham FC 1
Gorleston 0
Aldershot 2
Bath City 1
Eastleigh 0
Southend 1
Chertsey Town 1
Sutton 3
Boreham Wood 4
Carshalton 0
Lowestoft 1
Weston-super-Mare 3
Wealdstone 4
Gosport Borough 1
Leiston 1
Dagenham & Red. 5
Barnet 4
Chelmsford 0
Chesham 1
Yeovil 0
Cray Wanderers 0
Tonbridge 1
Woking 2
Slough Town 1
Forest Green 2
Weymouth 0
Maidstone 3
Ebbsfleet 0
Plymouth Parkway 0
Worthing FC 4
Braintree 1
Stortford 0