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Asia Talas vs Ilbirs

Kyrgyzstan Kyrgyzstan

Premier Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
51' Event
58' Event

AI Match Summary

The Premier Liga game between Asia Talas and Ilbirs finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Asia Talas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Asia Talas
35%
Draws
31%
Ilbirs
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Asia Talas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Asia Talas's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Asia Talas Clean Sheet 16%
Ilbirs Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Asia Talas Ilbirs
Matches Played 25 30
Wins 13 8
Draws 7 13
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 2.2 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.56 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2026 Premier Liga
Ilbirs vs Asia Talas
1:1
Apr 11, 2026 Premier Liga
Asia Talas vs Ilbirs
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Asia Talas 41 / 100
Ilbirs 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Asia Talas Ilbirs

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Asia Talas scored in 92% of their last 25 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Ilbirs conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Asia Talas went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Asia Talas VS Ilbirs
2 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Asia Talas

(Home)
19 Sept
Asia Talas
3 : 2
Neftchi Kochkor-Ata
12 Sept
Kyrgyzaltyn
0 : 4
Asia Talas
07 Sept
Asia Talas
1 : 2
Alga Bishkek
22 Aug
Asiagoal Bishkek
2 : 4
Asia Talas
16 Aug
Asia Talas
1 : 1
Bishkek City
Page 1 of 5

Ilbirs

(Away)
17 Sept
Asiagoal Bishkek
0 : 1
Ilbirs
11 Sept
Ilbirs
1 : 1
Bishkek City
19 Aug
Muras United
1 : 1
Ilbirs
15 Aug
Ilbirs
3 : 0
Dordoi Bishkek
11 Aug
Ilbirs
1 : 1
Asia Talas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bars 23 15 4 4 65:32 49
2 Muras United 22 13 7 2 47:20 46
3 Alga Bishkek 23 13 7 3 41:23 46
4 Asia Talas 24 13 7 4 55:38 46
5 Ozgon 22 14 2 6 48:27 44
6 Alay Osh 24 12 5 7 33:31 41
7 Talant 24 7 9 8 29:25 30
8 Dordoi Bishkek 23 8 5 10 36:32 29
9 Neftchi Kochkor-Ata 24 9 2 13 33:42 29
10 Ilbirs 23 6 10 7 29:34 28
11 Aldier 24 7 7 10 35:43 28
12 Toktogul 23 8 4 11 26:35 28
13 Bishkek City 24 6 9 9 26:33 27
14 Asiagoal Bishkek 24 4 9 11 27:40 21
15 Abdysh-Ata Kant 23 2 5 16 18:49 11
16 Kyrgyzaltyn 24 1 6 17 19:63 9
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)