Sport Picks

Stadium Background

ASO Chlef vs ES Setif

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 1 2025/2026 Mohamed Boumezrag Stadium, Chlef
Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Aiboud S.
32'
Boudechicha A.
45'
Daibeche O.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 2025/2026 game between ASO Chlef and ES Setif finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward ASO Chlef.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
ASO Chlef
15%
Draws
64%
ES Setif
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: ES Setif

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • ES Setif carry the better recent record into this one.
  • ES Setif are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
ASO Chlef Clean Sheet 18%
ES Setif Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASO Chlef ES Setif
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 12
Draws 5 6
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 0.89 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2026 Ligue 1
ASO Chlef vs ES Setif
1:0
Oct 4, 2025 Ligue 1
ES Setif vs ASO Chlef
1:1
Apr 11, 2025 Ligue 1
ASO Chlef vs ES Setif
0:1
Nov 2, 2024 Ligue 1
ES Setif vs ASO Chlef
1:0
Mar 24, 2024 Ligue 1
ES Setif vs ASO Chlef
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ASO Chlef Compare

Top Goalscorer Avotor K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

ES Setif Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASO Chlef 23 / 100
ES Setif 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASO Chlef ES Setif

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ES Setif Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: ASO Chlef scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: ES Setif conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

ASO Chlef has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

ASO Chlef VS ES Setif
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

ASO Chlef

(Home)
05 Sept
ASO Chlef
3 : 3
CR Belouizdad
05 Jun
MC Alger
2 : 0
ASO Chlef
20 May
ASO Chlef
1 : 2
Kabylie
07 May
Oran
1 : 0
ASO Chlef
17 Apr
ASO Chlef
1 : 0
Olympique Akbou
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ES Setif

(Away)
03 Sept
ES Setif
0 : 1
ES Ben Aknoun
20 Aug
ES Setif
2 : 1
Magra
05 Jun
Paradou
0 : 2
ES Setif
20 May
ES Setif
1 : 0
MC Alger
16 May
ES Setif
3 : 1
CR Belouizdad
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 MC Alger 30 20 5 5 41:18 65
2 Saoura 30 16 7 7 40:26 55
3 CR Belouizdad 30 14 11 5 47:24 53
4 Oran 30 14 7 9 36:31 49
5 Kabylie 30 11 12 7 40:31 45
6 Olympique Akbou 30 12 9 9 34:31 45
7 Khenchela 30 12 8 10 37:37 44
8 ES Ben Aknoun 30 11 10 9 41:39 43
9 Constantine 30 11 10 9 35:30 43
10 USM Alger 30 8 15 7 34:29 39
11 ES Setif 30 10 9 11 33:36 39
12 Rouisset 30 9 9 12 30:35 36
13 ASO Chlef 30 9 7 14 26:31 34
14 Paradou 30 7 3 20 35:54 24
15 Mostaganem 30 4 7 19 18:52 19
16 El Bayadh 30 2 11 17 17:40 17
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)