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Assam Rifles vs Army Red Prediction & H2H Stats

India India

Durand Cup 2021
Assam Rifles Logo

Assam Rifles

1 - 4
FT
Army Red Logo

Army Red

Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Shil L.
41' Event
Rabha S.
65' Event
Thapa B.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-4, with Army Red advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Assam Rifles
15%
Draws
85%
Army Red
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Army Red

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Army Red come out ahead of Assam Rifles on wins alone.
  • Model gives Army Red a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Army Red arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Army Red, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Assam Rifles Clean Sheet 19%
Army Red Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Assam Rifles Army Red
Matches Played 6 29
Wins 0 15
Draws 0 5
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 0.67 1.48
Goals Conceded 4 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2024 Durand Cup
Army Red vs Assam Rifles
3:0
Sep 9, 2021 Durand Cup
Assam Rifles vs Army Red
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Assam Rifles Compare

Top Goalscorer Rabha S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Army Red Compare

Top Goalscorer Shil L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Thapa B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Assam Rifles 10 / 100
Army Red 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Assam Rifles Army Red

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Army Red Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Assam Rifles scored in 50% of their last 6 outings.

Army Red has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Army Red lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Army Red
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Assam Rifles

(Home)
11 Aug
Chennaiyin FC
2 : 1
Assam Rifles
07 Aug
Army Red
3 : 0
Assam Rifles
28 Jul
Jamshedpur
3 : 0
Assam Rifles
19 Sept
Assam Rifles
2 : 7
Gokulam
12 Sept
Assam Rifles
0 : 5
Hyderabad
Page 1 of 2

Army Red

(Away)
16 Aug
Army Red
0 : 1
East Bengal
12 Aug
Mohammedan
1 : 2
Army Red
05 Aug
Army Red
4 : 0
Baghpat
26 Jul
Army Red
1 : 0
Samaleswari SC
11 Aug
Army Red
4 : 2
1 Ladakh
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bengaluru United 3 3 0 0 7:2 9
2 Mohammedan 3 2 0 1 9:4 6
3 Indian Air Force (New Delhi) 2 0 0 2 3:8 0
4 CRPF 2 0 0 2 1:6 0
Promotion - Durand Cup 2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Goa 3 3 0 0 9:1 9
2 Army Green 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
3 Jamshedpur 3 1 0 2 2:8 3
4 Sudeva Delhi 3 0 0 3 1:4 0
Promotion - Durand Cup 2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bengaluru FC 3 2 1 0 9:5 7
2 Delhi FC 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
3 Indian Navy 3 1 0 2 5:7 3
4 Kerala Blasters 3 1 0 2 1:3 3
Promotion - Durand Cup 2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gokulam 3 2 1 0 10:4 7
2 Army Red 3 2 1 0 8:4 7
3 Hyderabad 3 1 0 2 6:3 3
4 Assam Rifles 3 0 0 3 3:16 0
Promotion - Durand Cup 2021 (Play Offs)