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Assiden vs Mjondalen

Norway Norway

NM Cup 2025
Sat, Apr 12, 2025
1 - 4
01:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Langset M.
78'
Karlsen O. W.
78'
Karlsen O. W.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-4, with Mjondalen advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Assiden
15%
Draws
85%
Mjondalen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mjondalen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Mjondalen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Mjondalen a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Mjondalen arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Mjondalen, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Assiden Clean Sheet 10%
Mjondalen Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Assiden Mjondalen
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 16
Draws 4 3
Losses 20 11
Goals Scored 1.7 1.7
Goals Conceded 2.7 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 2.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2025 NM Cup
Assiden vs Mjondalen
1:4
Jul 25, 2021 NM Cup
Assiden vs Mjondalen
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Assiden Compare

Top Goalscorer Langset M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Mjondalen Compare

Top Goalscorer Conteh A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sawaneh E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.67
Avg xA / game 1.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Assiden 14 / 100
Mjondalen 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Assiden Mjondalen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mjondalen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mjondalen has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Assiden's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Mjondalen lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Assiden VS Mjondalen
0 Goals Scored 1.88
4 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Assiden

(Home)
22 Aug
Assiden
0 : 4
Notodden
26 Oct
Lillehammer
4 : 2
Assiden
19 Oct
Assiden
3 : 4
Lillestrom 2
11 Oct
Bjorkelangen
3 : 1
Assiden
05 Oct
Assiden
1 : 5
Lorenskog
Page 1 of 6

Mjondalen

(Away)
19 Sept
Mjondalen
3 : 1
Sotra
12 Sept
Lysekloster
2 : 3
Mjondalen
05 Sept
Mjondalen
0 : 3
Jerv
30 Aug
Bjarg
1 : 0
Mjondalen
22 Aug
Baerum
4 : 0
Mjondalen
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
NHHI 1
Sandviken 3
Volda 1
Sogndal 2
Elverum 2
Gjovik-Lyn 0
Ridabu 0
Kongsvinger 12
Melbo 0
Sortland 1
Ulfstind 0
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 3
Trygg/Lade 0
Strindheim 1
Rindal 1
Rosenborg 11
FK Kvik 0
Stjordals Blink 1
Sverresborg IF 2
Ranheim 4
Vindbjart 0
Jerv 3
Eiger 1
Egersund 7
Gamle Oslo 2
Valerenga 1
Sprint-Jeloy 0
Sarpsborg 08 4
Orn 2
Arendal 1
Teie 0
Sandefjord 5
Nordstrand 3
Ull/Kisa 4
Rollon 0
Aalesund 3
Junkeren 2
Harstad 1
Innstrandens 0
Bodo/Glimt 8
Oppsal 0
Kjelsas 1
Rade 1
Lyn 2
Frigg 1
Lorenskog 3
Lillehammer 0
Ham-Kam 2
OS TF 4
Fana 2
Gneist IL 0
Lysekloster 2
Djerv 1919 2
Sotra 3
Askoy 1
Asane 5
Ullern 2
Follo 5
Kvik Halden 1
Moss 3
Brodd 1
Flekkeroy 3
Hana 0
Viking 6
Fram 4
Eik-Tonsberg 1
Notodden 0
Stabaek 3
Vidar 2
Sandnes Ulf 0
Nord 0
Haugesund 11
Bjorkelangen 1
Strommen 6
Brumunddal 1
Raufoss 4
Assiden 1
Mjondalen 4
Konnerud 0
Stromsgodset 5
Verdal 0
Levanger 8
Mosjoen 0
Rana FK 4
Spjelkavik 0
Traeff 2
Elnesvagen 0
Molde 7
Bjornevatn IL 0
Alta 11
Union Carl Berner 0
Skeid 3
Byasen 3
Nardo 5
Melhus 1
Kristiansund 5
Baerum 3
Grorud 4
Brattvag 1
Hodd 2
Skedsmo 0
Eidsvold TF 5
Skjetten 0
Lillestrom 5
Honefoss 0
Pors 1
Vag 2
Start 4
Flint 3
Odds BK 2
Sarpsborg FK 0
Fredrikstad 4
Torvastad IL 2
V. Haugesund 0
Varhaug 0
Bryne 4
Fjora 1
Bjarg 3
Varegg 0
Brann 6
Skjervoy 2
Floya 1
Hamna 0
Tromso 10
Ready 4
Asker 3
Grei 1
KFUM Oslo 5
1/32-finals
Sandviken 0
Sogndal 4
Elverum 2
Kongsvinger 7
Sortland 0
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 5
Strindheim 0
Rosenborg 3
Stjordals Blink 1
Ranheim 2
Jerv 0
Egersund 1
Gamle Oslo 1
Sarpsborg 08 6
Orn 0
Sandefjord 2
Ull/Kisa 2
Aalesund 3
Junkeren 1
Bodo/Glimt 5
Kjelsas 0
Lyn 3
Lorenskog 0
Ham-Kam 1
OS TF 5
Lysekloster 4
Sotra 0
Asane 2
Follo 2
Moss 3
Flekkeroy 0
Viking 3
Fram 0
Stabaek 4
Vidar 1
Haugesund 2
Strommen 2
Raufoss 1
Mjondalen 2
Stromsgodset 1
Levanger 1
Rana FK 2
Traeff 1
Molde 2
Alta 3
Skeid 0
Nardo 1
Kristiansund 4
Grorud 3
Hodd 1
Eidsvold TF 0
Lillestrom 2
Pors 3
Start 2
Flint 0
Fredrikstad 5
Torvastad IL 1
Bryne 2
Bjarg 0
Brann 2
Skjervoy 0
Tromso 1
Ready 0
KFUM Oslo 3
1/16-finals
Sogndal 3
Kongsvinger 4
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 0
Rosenborg 5
Ranheim 2
Egersund 3
Sarpsborg 08 3
Sandefjord 1
Aalesund 1
Bodo/Glimt 0
Lyn 0
Ham-Kam 2
OS TF 1
Asane 4
Moss 0
Viking 1
Stabaek 2
Haugesund 1
Strommen 1
Mjondalen 3
Rana FK 0
Molde 4
Alta 0
Kristiansund 4
Grorud 2
Lillestrom 3
Pors 1
Fredrikstad 3
Bryne 2
Brann 1
Tromso 0
KFUM Oslo 1
1/8-finals
Kongsvinger 2
Rosenborg 3
Egersund 1
Sarpsborg 08 3
Aalesund 3
Ham-Kam 2
Asane 0
Viking 7
Stabaek 4
Mjondalen 3
Molde 3
Kristiansund 4
Lillestrom 2
Fredrikstad 1
Bryne 0
KFUM Oslo 2
Quarter-finals
Rosenborg 2
Sarpsborg 08 3
Aalesund 0
Viking 1
Stabaek 2
Kristiansund 3
Lillestrom 2
KFUM Oslo 0
Semi-finals
Sarpsborg 08 1
Viking 0
Kristiansund 0
Lillestrom 2
Final
Sarpsborg 08 1
Lillestrom 3