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Assyriska FF vs Vasalund

Sweden Sweden

Svenska Cupen
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Assyriska FF play Vasalund in the Svenska Cupen. It looks like a close match. Recently, Assyriska FF averaged 1.7 goals scored and 1.87 conceded. Vasalund averaged 1.71 goals scored and 1.75 conceded. In past meetings, Assyriska FF won 3, Vasalund won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 26, 2026 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Assyriska FF and 2.00 for Vasalund. This points to a Vasalund double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Assyriska FF
24%
Draws
41%
Vasalund
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Vasalund

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Assyriska FF picked up more points recently compared to Vasalund.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 2.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 70%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Over 3.5 Goals 42%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Assyriska FF Clean Sheet 10%
Vasalund Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Assyriska FF Vasalund
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 8 11
Draws 8 7
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.7 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
Assyriska FF vs Vasalund
3:1
May 28, 2026 Svenska Cupen
Assyriska FF vs Vasalund
0:1
Mar 22, 2026 Club Friendly
Vasalund vs Assyriska FF
1:1
Sep 14, 2025 Division 1 - Norra
Vasalund vs Assyriska FF
1:2
May 5, 2025 Division 1 - Norra
Assyriska FF vs Vasalund
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Assyriska FF Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Vasalund Compare

Top Goalscorer Sliwo C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Assyriska FF 34 / 100
Vasalund 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Assyriska FF Vasalund

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Vasalund or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +29.5%
3.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.2%
1.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Assyriska FF attacking → ← attacking Vasalund

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Assyriska FF scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Vasalund let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Assyriska FF went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Vasalund lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 40
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
2.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75