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Asteras Stavrou vs Lefkimmi

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026 game between Asteras Stavrou and Lefkimmi finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Asteras Stavrou.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Asteras Stavrou
30%
Draws
47%
Lefkimmi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lefkimmi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Lefkimmi carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Asteras Stavrou here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Asteras Stavrou Clean Sheet 17%
Lefkimmi Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Asteras Stavrou Lefkimmi
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 13
Draws 9 4
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.38 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Asteras Stavrou vs Lefkimmi
1:0
Nov 16, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Lefkimmi vs Asteras Stavrou
0:1
Mar 31, 2024 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Lefkimmi vs Asteras Stavrou
2:0
Nov 26, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Asteras Stavrou vs Lefkimmi
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Asteras Stavrou 31 / 100
Lefkimmi 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Asteras Stavrou Lefkimmi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lefkimmi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Asteras Stavrou's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Lefkimmi conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Asteras Stavrou went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Asteras Stavrou VS Lefkimmi
0.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Asteras Stavrou

(Home)
08 Apr
Elassona
2 : 1
Asteras Stavrou
05 Apr
Asteras Stavrou
2 : 2
Tilikratis Lefkada
01 Apr
Aris Filiaton
3 : 0
Asteras Stavrou
28 Mar
Asteras Stavrou
0 : 0
Lamia
22 Mar
AO Trikala
0 : 1
Asteras Stavrou
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Lefkimmi

(Away)
08 Apr
Lefkimmi
5 : 3
Proodos Rogon
05 Apr
Lefkimmi
4 : 2
Anagennisi Schimatariou
01 Apr
Anagennisi Arta
5 : 1
Lefkimmi
28 Mar
Anthoupoli
2 : 2
Lefkimmi
22 Mar
Lefkimmi
2 : 1
Nea Selefkia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Elassona 24 11 10 3 31:19 43
2 Aris Filiaton 24 12 7 5 33:19 43
3 AO Trikala 24 11 10 3 35:18 43
4 Asteras Stavrou 24 11 7 6 36:28 40
5 Lamia 24 9 12 3 36:17 39
6 Tilikratis Lefkada 24 9 8 7 25:22 35
7 Anagennisi Arta 24 9 8 7 26:21 35
8 Lefkimmi 24 10 3 11 31:31 33
9 Anagennisi Schimatariou 24 9 5 10 25:24 32
10 Anthoupoli 24 7 6 11 21:29 27
11 Nea Selefkia 24 5 11 8 25:27 26
12 Proodos Rogon 23 4 6 13 30:40 18
13 Thesprotos 23 1 1 21 6:65 1
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026 (Losers stage)