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Asteras Tripolis vs Atromitos

Greece Greece

Super League Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium, Tripoli
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Asteras Tripolis host Atromitos in the Super League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Asteras Tripolis at 1.2 goals for, 1.23 against; Atromitos at 1.45 for, 1.03 against. Head-to-head, Asteras Tripolis have won 2 to Atromitos's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on May 2, 2026, ending 4:2. xG projections (1.13 - 1.06) back Atromitos to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Asteras Tripolis
35%
Draws
30%
Atromitos
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Atromitos carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 35% — that's where the model lands on Asteras Tripolis taking it.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Asteras Tripolis Clean Sheet 68%
Atromitos Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Asteras Tripolis Atromitos
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 12
Draws 10 8
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.2 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Super League
Asteras Tripolis vs Atromitos
4:2
Apr 26, 2026 Super League
Atromitos vs Asteras Tripolis
2:1
Feb 21, 2026 Super League
Asteras Tripolis vs Atromitos
1:2
Nov 30, 2025 Super League
Atromitos vs Asteras Tripolis
0:1
Jul 19, 2025 Club Friendly
Atromitos vs Asteras Tripolis
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Asteras Tripolis 50 / 100
Atromitos 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Asteras Tripolis Atromitos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Asteras Tripolis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Asteras Tripolis scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Atromitos's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Asteras Tripolis has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Asteras Tripolis VS Atromitos
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Asteras Tripolis

(Home)
20 Sept
OFI Crete
2 : 2
Asteras Tripolis
16 Sept
Niki Volos
0 : 3
Asteras Tripolis
13 Sept
Asteras Tripolis
1 : 1
AEK
10 Sept
Asteras Tripolis
1 : 1
Aris
07 Sept
Asteras Tripolis
0 : 2
Iraklis FC
Page 1 of 6

Atromitos

(Away)
19 Sept
Atromitos
1 : 2
Kifisia
16 Sept
Atromitos
0 : 1
PAOK
12 Sept
Iraklis FC
1 : 1
Atromitos
06 Sept
Atromitos
1 : 1
Kalamata
02 Sept
Panserraikos
0 : 1
Atromitos
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panathinaikos 5 5 0 0 12:2 15
2 PAOK 5 4 0 1 12:5 12
3 AEK 5 3 2 0 13:3 11
4 OFI Crete 5 3 1 1 8:4 10
5 Olympiacos Piraeus 5 3 1 1 4:2 10
6 Panetolikos 5 3 0 2 8:7 9
7 Aris 5 2 1 2 5:10 7
8 Iraklis FC 5 1 3 1 4:6 6
9 Kifisia 5 1 2 2 4:7 5
10 Kalamata 5 1 1 3 6:8 4
11 Atromitos 5 0 2 3 4:7 2
12 Asteras Tripolis 5 0 2 3 4:9 2
13 Volos 5 0 2 3 4:9 2
14 Levadiakos 5 0 1 4 0:9 1
Promotion - Super League (Championship Group)
Promotion - Super League (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Super League (Relegation Group)