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Asteras Tripolis vs Atromitos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Super League Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium, Tripoli
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Ketu K.
Assist: Gonzalez E.
22' Event
Bartolo J.
Assist: Mendez A.
23' Event
Garcia D.
Assist: Tsingaras T.

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Asteras Tripolis and Atromitos finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Asteras Tripolis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Asteras Tripolis
30%
Draws
54%
Atromitos
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Atromitos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

16% / Low Confidence
  • Atromitos carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 16% — that's where the model lands on Asteras Tripolis taking it.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Asteras Tripolis Clean Sheet 68%
Atromitos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Asteras Tripolis Atromitos
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 11
Draws 12 7
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.19 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 Super League
Asteras Tripolis vs Atromitos
2:1
May 2, 2026 Super League
Asteras Tripolis vs Atromitos
4:2
Apr 26, 2026 Super League
Atromitos vs Asteras Tripolis
2:1
Feb 21, 2026 Super League
Asteras Tripolis vs Atromitos
1:2
Nov 30, 2025 Super League
Atromitos vs Asteras Tripolis
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Asteras Tripolis Compare

Top Goalscorer Ketu K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bartolo J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Atromitos Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Asteras Tripolis 95 / 100
Atromitos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Asteras Tripolis Atromitos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Asteras Tripolis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Asteras Tripolis's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Atromitos has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Asteras Tripolis has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Asteras Tripolis VS Atromitos
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Asteras Tripolis

(Home)
08 Nov
Asteras Tripolis
1 : 1
Kalamata
01 Nov
PAOK
2 : 1
Asteras Tripolis
27 Oct
Asteras Tripolis
0 : 2
Kifisia
24 Oct
Asteras Tripolis
0 : 0
Levadiakos
18 Oct
Panathinaikos
5 : 1
Asteras Tripolis
Page 1 of 7

Atromitos

(Away)
08 Nov
OFI Crete
0 : 0
Atromitos
02 Nov
Atromitos
3 : 0
Volos
29 Oct
Volos
1 : 3
Atromitos
25 Oct
Aris
3 : 1
Atromitos
10 Oct
Asteras Tripolis
2 : 1
Atromitos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panathinaikos 10 9 0 1 22:5 27
2 Olympiacos Piraeus 10 7 2 1 16:5 23
3 AEK 9 6 2 1 23:6 20
4 PAOK 10 6 1 3 19:13 19
5 Aris 10 6 1 3 16:17 19
6 OFI Crete 10 5 2 3 14:12 17
7 Kifisia 10 4 2 4 15:15 14
8 Kalamata 10 3 3 4 15:19 12
9 Iraklis FC 10 2 4 4 11:14 10
10 Panetolikos 10 3 0 7 8:20 9
11 Asteras Tripolis 10 1 4 5 9:18 7
12 Atromitos 9 1 3 5 9:12 6
13 Levadiakos 10 1 3 6 4:13 6
14 Volos 10 0 3 7 7:19 0
Promotion - Super League (Championship Group)
Promotion - Super League (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Super League (Relegation Group)