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Asti Calcio vs Cairese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A
Our Tip

Match Events

68' Event
Toldo A.
90' Event
Graziani G.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group A matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Asti Calcio
15%
Draws
20%
Cairese
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Asti Calcio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Asti Calcio at 1.25 per game, Cairese at 0.75.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Asti Calcio Clean Sheet 68%
Cairese Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Asti Calcio Cairese
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 8 10
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.25 0.75
Goals Conceded 1 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Cairese vs Asti Calcio
0:1
Feb 1, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Asti Calcio vs Cairese
1:1
Sep 28, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Cairese vs Asti Calcio
1:1
Jan 15, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Asti Calcio vs Cairese
0:1
Sep 18, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Cairese vs Asti Calcio
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Asti Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Toldo A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Cairese Compare

Top Goalscorer Graziani G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Asti Calcio 41 / 100
Cairese 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Asti Calcio Cairese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AST Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Asti Calcio scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: Cairese conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Asti Calcio has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Asti Calcio VS Cairese
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Asti Calcio

(Home)
10 May
Cairese
0 : 1
Asti Calcio
03 May
Club Milano
4 : 1
Asti Calcio
26 Apr
Asti Calcio
1 : 1
Ligorna
19 Apr
Sestri Levante
1 : 2
Asti Calcio
12 Apr
Asti Calcio
2 : 1
Saluzzo
Page 1 of 7

Cairese

(Away)
10 May
Cairese
0 : 1
Asti Calcio
03 May
Gozzano
1 : 0
Cairese
26 Apr
Cairese
4 : 0
Valenzana
19 Apr
Vado
2 : 0
Cairese
12 Apr
Cairese
0 : 1
Club Milano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vado 34 24 6 4 69:24 78
2 Ligorna 34 21 9 4 64:26 72
3 AS Biellese 34 16 9 9 48:29 57
4 Varese FC 34 16 8 10 43:43 56
5 Chisola 34 16 7 11 44:36 55
6 Sestri Levante 34 15 9 10 54:34 54
7 Sanremese 34 13 10 11 37:30 49
8 Valenzana 34 12 9 13 33:48 45
9 Celle Varazze 34 12 8 14 41:47 44
10 Saluzzo 34 11 10 13 48:44 43
11 Club Milano 34 12 6 16 43:49 42
12 Imperia Calcio 34 10 11 13 36:44 41
13 Cairese 34 9 13 12 29:34 40
14 Derthona FbC 34 11 7 16 36:46 40
15 Gozzano 34 9 12 13 37:42 39
16 Asti Calcio 34 8 11 15 32:42 35
17 Lavagnese 34 5 12 17 32:52 27
18 NovaRomentin 34 6 3 25 26:82 16
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A (Play Out)