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Aston Villa U19 vs Sporting CP U19 Prediction & H2H Stats

Europe Europe

Nextgen Series 2012/2013
Aston Villa U19 Logo

Aston Villa U19

Fri, Mar 29, 2013
3 - 1
07:00 PM
Sporting CP U19 Logo

Sporting CP U19

Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Burke G.
(Penalty)
68' Event
Stojanovic L.
92' Event
Grealish J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Aston Villa U19 in this Nextgen Series 2012/2013 tie, finishing 3-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Aston Villa U19
30%
Draws
51%
Sporting CP U19
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sporting CP U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Sporting CP U19 have won more games recently than Aston Villa U19.
  • Model gives Sporting CP U19 a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Sporting CP U19 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Sporting CP U19, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Aston Villa U19 have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Aston Villa U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Sporting CP U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aston Villa U19 Sporting CP U19
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 15 17
Draws 4 9
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 2.07 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 3.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2013 UEFA Youth League
Aston Villa U19 vs Sporting CP U19
3:1
Nov 28, 2012 UEFA Youth League
Sporting CP U19 vs Aston Villa U19
1:5
Aug 15, 2012 UEFA Youth League
Aston Villa U19 vs Sporting CP U19
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aston Villa U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Grealish J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Carruthers S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

Sporting CP U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Stojanovic L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.85
Avg xA / game 1.74

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aston Villa U19 26 / 100
Sporting CP U19 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aston Villa U19 Sporting CP U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting CP U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aston Villa U19 found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 4.67 goals per match.

Sporting CP U19 has conceded goals in 62% of their last 34 outings.

Aston Villa U19 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aston Villa U19 VS Sporting CP U19
3 Goals Scored 1.25
5 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Aston Villa U19

(Home)
08 Sept
Club Brugge U19
5 : 3
Aston Villa U19
09 Dec
AZ Alkmaar U19
2 : 1
Aston Villa U19
26 Nov
Aston Villa U19
2 : 2
AZ Alkmaar U19
05 Nov
Aston Villa U19
6 : 0
Skenderbeu Korca U19
21 Oct
Skenderbeu Korca U19
1 : 1
Aston Villa U19
Page 1 of 6

Sporting CP U19

(Away)
19 Sept
SC Farense U19
0 : 1
Sporting CP U19
13 Sept
Sporting CP U19
3 : 0
Alverca U19
09 Sept
Sporting CP U19
2 : 2
Galatasaray U19
29 Aug
Torreense U19
1 : 2
Sporting CP U19
22 Aug
Sporting CP U19
2 : 1
Oriental U19
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Chelsea U19 2
Barcelona U19 0
Rosenborg U19 0
Juventus U19 1
CSKA Moscow U19 3
PSV U19 0
Inter U19 0
Arsenal U19 1
Aston Villa U19 2
Ajax U19 1
Anderlecht U19 1
Olympiacos Piraeus U19 2
Tottenham U19 2
PSG U19 1
Liverpool U19 0
Sporting CP U19 4
Quarter-finals
Chelsea U19 4
Juventus U19 1
CSKA Moscow U19 0
Arsenal U19 1
Aston Villa U19 1
Olympiacos Piraeus U19 0
Tottenham U19 3
Sporting CP U19 5
Semi-finals
Chelsea U19 4
Arsenal U19 3
Aston Villa U19 3
Sporting CP U19 1
Final
Chelsea U19 0
Aston Villa U19 2
Arsenal U19 1
Sporting CP U19 3