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Aston Villa W vs London City Lionesses W

England England

WSL Bescot Stadium, Walsall
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Kumagai S.
Assist: Linari E.
33' Event
Hanson K.
45'
Taylor M.

AI Match Summary

The WSL game between Aston Villa W and London City Lionesses W finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward London City Lionesses W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Aston Villa W
17%
Draws
70%
London City Lionesses W
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: London City Lionesses W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and London City Lionesses W come out ahead of Aston Villa W on wins alone.
  • Model gives London City Lionesses W a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular WSL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Aston Villa W Clean Sheet 10%
London City Lionesses W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aston Villa W London City Lionesses W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 12
Draws 7 3
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.38 1
Goals Conceded 3 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 WSL
London City Lionesses W vs Aston Villa W
2:1
Nov 16, 2025 WSL
Aston Villa W vs London City Lionesses W
1:3
Dec 15, 2019 WSL 2
Aston Villa W vs London City Lionesses W
3:1
Aug 25, 2019 WSL 2
London City Lionesses W vs Aston Villa W
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aston Villa W Compare

Top Goalscorer Hanson K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

London City Lionesses W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kumagai S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Goodwin I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aston Villa W 14 / 100
London City Lionesses W 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aston Villa W London City Lionesses W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LCL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

London City Lionesses W has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Aston Villa W's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Aston Villa W has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Aston Villa W VS London City Lionesses W
1.38 Goals Scored 1
3 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Aston Villa W

(Home)
16 May
London City Lionesses W
2 : 1
Aston Villa W
09 May
Aston Villa W
0 : 3
Arsenal W
04 May
Aston Villa W
0 : 2
West Ham W
29 Mar
Chelsea W
4 : 3
Aston Villa W
22 Mar
Leicester W
1 : 2
Aston Villa W
Page 1 of 6

London City Lionesses W

(Away)
16 May
London City Lionesses W
2 : 1
Aston Villa W
03 May
Tottenham W
2 : 1
London City Lionesses W
26 Apr
London City Lionesses W
5 : 1
Leicester W
29 Mar
West Ham W
1 : 1
London City Lionesses W
21 Mar
London City Lionesses W
1 : 1
Chelsea W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Manchester City W22181362:1955
2Arsenal W22156153:1451
3Chelsea W22154344:2049
4Manchester United W22117438:2240
5Tottenham W22113835:3836
6London City Lionesses W22831128:3527
7Brighton W22751027:2826
8Everton W22721325:3723
9Aston Villa W22551228:4820
10West Ham W22541320:4519
11Liverpool W22451321:3417
12Leicester W22231711:529
Promotion - Champions League Women (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League Women (Qualification - Third stage)
Relegation - WSL (Relegation)