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Astur vs CD Roces

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Tercera Division - Group 2 2014/2015
Astur Logo

Astur

2 - 1
FT
CD Roces Logo

CD Roces

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Astur in this Tercera Division - Group 2 2014/2015 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Astur.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Astur
15%
Draws
0%
CD Roces
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Astur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Astur average 0.84 goals a game right now, well clear of CD Roces's 0.66.
  • Model gives Astur a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Astur Clean Sheet 20%
CD Roces Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Astur CD Roces
Matches Played 32 35
Wins 5 5
Draws 3 6
Losses 24 24
Goals Scored 0.84 0.66
Goals Conceded 2.47 2.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Astur vs CD Roces
1:2
Nov 8, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
CD Roces vs Astur
0:2
Mar 25, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Astur vs CD Roces
2:1
Sep 20, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
CD Roces vs Astur
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Astur 85 / 100
CD Roces 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Astur CD Roces

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Astur Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Roces let in goals in 86% of their last 35 matches.

Away concern: CD Roces has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Astur scored in 59% of their last 32 games.

Scoring Trends

Astur VS CD Roces
0.25 Goals Scored 0.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Astur

(Home)
20 Sept
Astur
0 : 1
Club Siero
13 Sept
CD Colunga
2 : 1
Astur
06 Sept
Astur
0 : 3
Caudal Deportivo
29 Oct
Astur
1 : 4
Valladolid
09 Oct
Astur
2 : 0
Promesas EDF
Page 1 of 7

CD Roces

(Away)
11 May
CD Roces
0 : 4
CD Mosconia
04 May
Praviano
3 : 2
CD Roces
26 Apr
CD Roces
0 : 2
Basico Urraca
17 Apr
CD Roces
0 : 5
Lealtad
13 Apr
Real Oviedo B
3 : 0
CD Roces
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Condal 38 26 8 4 67:20 86
2 Caudal Deportivo 38 25 9 4 68:18 84
3 Real Oviedo B 38 23 9 6 82:34 78
4 Tuilla 38 22 8 8 67:31 74
5 Covadonga 38 21 7 10 63:39 70
6 Llanes 38 17 13 8 61:51 64
7 Union Club Ceares 38 16 15 7 51:41 63
8 Praviano 38 14 11 13 47:46 53
9 Basico Urraca 38 12 14 12 50:47 50
10 Atletico de Lugones 38 13 10 15 45:49 49
11 CD Mosconia 38 11 14 13 37:45 47
12 Real Aviles B 38 11 13 14 46:53 46
13 Astur 38 11 13 14 39:52 46
14 Gijon Industrial 38 12 10 16 42:50 46
15 CD Roces 38 11 12 15 37:43 45
16 Andes CF 38 12 7 19 44:60 43
17 L Entregu CF 38 9 11 18 34:54 38
18 Lenense 38 8 5 25 38:72 29
19 Universidad Oviedo 38 5 6 27 30:78 21
20 Cudillero 38 2 3 33 10:75 9
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)