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Astur vs Universidad Oviedo Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera Division - Group 2 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Astur in this Tercera Division - Group 2 2014/2015 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Astur.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Astur
20%
Draws
64%
Universidad Oviedo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Universidad Oviedo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

16% / Low Confidence
  • Universidad Oviedo have won more games recently than Astur.
  • Astur are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 2 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Astur Clean Sheet 19%
Universidad Oviedo Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Astur Universidad Oviedo
Matches Played 32 34
Wins 5 8
Draws 4 7
Losses 23 19
Goals Scored 0.91 0.85
Goals Conceded 2.44 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.24 1.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Astur vs Universidad Oviedo
4:1
Oct 19, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Universidad Oviedo vs Astur
2:0
Feb 21, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Astur vs Universidad Oviedo
0:5
Oct 4, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Universidad Oviedo vs Astur
0:2
Feb 22, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Universidad Oviedo vs Astur
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Astur 49 / 100
Universidad Oviedo 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Astur Universidad Oviedo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Astur Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Astur scored in 63% of their last 32 games.

Universidad Oviedo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 34 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Universidad Oviedo's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Astur VS Universidad Oviedo
0.86 Goals Scored 0.88
1.71 Goals Conceded 1.63
71% Over 1.5 63%
57% Over 2.5 50%
29% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Astur

(Home)
27 Sept
EI San Martin
2 : 2
Astur
20 Sept
Astur
0 : 1
Club Siero
13 Sept
CD Colunga
2 : 1
Astur
06 Sept
Astur
0 : 3
Caudal Deportivo
29 Oct
Astur
1 : 4
Valladolid
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Universidad Oviedo

(Away)
28 Aug
Universidad Oviedo
0 : 6
Real Oviedo B
19 May
Universidad Oviedo
0 : 0
La Madalena
12 May
Llanera
4 : 2
Universidad Oviedo
05 May
Universidad Oviedo
1 : 0
L Entregu CF
28 Apr
Lealtad
3 : 0
Universidad Oviedo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Condal 38 26 8 4 67:20 86
2 Caudal Deportivo 38 25 9 4 68:18 84
3 Real Oviedo B 38 23 9 6 82:34 78
4 Tuilla 38 22 8 8 67:31 74
5 Covadonga 38 21 7 10 63:39 70
6 Llanes 38 17 13 8 61:51 64
7 Union Club Ceares 38 16 15 7 51:41 63
8 Praviano 38 14 11 13 47:46 53
9 Basico Urraca 38 12 14 12 50:47 50
10 Atletico de Lugones 38 13 10 15 45:49 49
11 CD Mosconia 38 11 14 13 37:45 47
12 Real Aviles B 38 11 13 14 46:53 46
13 Astur 38 11 13 14 39:52 46
14 Gijon Industrial 38 12 10 16 42:50 46
15 CD Roces 38 11 12 15 37:43 45
16 Andes CF 38 12 7 19 44:60 43
17 L Entregu CF 38 9 11 18 34:54 38
18 Lenense 38 8 5 25 38:72 29
19 Universidad Oviedo 38 5 6 27 30:78 21
20 Cudillero 38 2 3 33 10:75 9
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)