Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Astur vs Universidad Oviedo

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 2 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Astur in this Tercera Division - Group 2 2014/2015 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Astur.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Astur
6%
Draws
90%
Universidad Oviedo
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Universidad Oviedo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Universidad Oviedo have won more games recently than Astur.
  • Universidad Oviedo are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 2 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Astur Clean Sheet 18%
Universidad Oviedo Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Astur Universidad Oviedo
Matches Played 34 36
Wins 7 8
Draws 5 9
Losses 22 19
Goals Scored 1.5 0.63
Goals Conceded 2 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Astur vs Universidad Oviedo
4:1
Oct 19, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Universidad Oviedo vs Astur
2:0
Feb 21, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Astur vs Universidad Oviedo
0:5
Oct 4, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Universidad Oviedo vs Astur
0:2
Feb 22, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Universidad Oviedo vs Astur
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Astur 10 / 100
Universidad Oviedo 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Astur Universidad Oviedo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Astur scored in 68% of their last 34 games.

Universidad Oviedo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 36 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Universidad Oviedo's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Astur VS Universidad Oviedo
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
2 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Condal38268467:2086
2Caudal Deportivo38259468:1884
3Real Oviedo B38239682:3478
4Tuilla38228867:3174
5Covadonga382171063:3970
6Llanes381713861:5164
7Union Club Ceares381615751:4163
8Praviano3814111347:4653
9Basico Urraca3812141250:4750
10Atletico de Lugones3813101545:4949
11CD Mosconia3811141337:4547
12Real Aviles B3811131446:5346
13Astur3811131439:5246
14Gijon Industrial3812101642:5046
15CD Roces3811121537:4345
16Andes CF381271944:6043
17L Entregu CF389111834:5438
18Lenense38852538:7229
19Universidad Oviedo38562730:7821
20Cudillero38233310:759