Sport Picks

Stadium Background

ASWH vs Achilles 29

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2018/2019
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
van den Bosch J.
38' Event
van de Werp G.
51' Event
Schmidt K.

AI Match Summary

ASWH in this Derde Divisie 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored ASWH.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
ASWH
30%
Draws
58%
Achilles 29
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Achilles 29

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to ASWH lately — more wins on the board than Achilles 29.
  • ASWH are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
ASWH Clean Sheet 11%
Achilles 29 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASWH Achilles 29
Matches Played 36 31
Wins 8 6
Draws 5 8
Losses 23 17
Goals Scored 1.56 1.39
Goals Conceded 2.61 2.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2019 Derde Divisie
ASWH vs Achilles 29
4:1
Oct 13, 2018 Derde Divisie
Achilles 29 vs ASWH
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ASWH Compare

Top Goalscorer van den Bosch J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader van de Werp G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Achilles 29 Compare

Top Goalscorer Schmidt K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASWH 35 / 100
Achilles 29 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASWH Achilles 29

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ASWH found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (36 games).

Defensive concern: Achilles 29 conceded in 90% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: ASWH stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

ASWH VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
2.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

ASWH

(Home)
23 May
Groene Ster
3 : 1
ASWH
16 May
ASWH
1 : 6
VV Zwaluwen
09 May
SVV Scheveningen
2 : 2
ASWH
25 Apr
ASWH
2 : 3
Roosendaal
18 Apr
UNA
2 : 0
ASWH
Page 1 of 8

Achilles 29

(Away)
20 Oct
Achilles 29
1 : 0
De Treffers
25 May
Achilles 29
1 : 3
ODIN '59
18 May
VV DOVO
3 : 3
Achilles 29
11 May
ASWH
4 : 1
Achilles 29
04 May
Achilles 29
1 : 1
Harkemase Boys
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VV Noordwijk 34 25 5 4 94:41 80
2 Quick Boys 34 22 6 6 84:40 72
3 DVS '33 Ermelo 34 21 5 8 102:47 68
4 HSV Hoek 34 19 7 8 82:55 64
5 Groningen U21 34 17 7 10 66:39 58
6 Harkemase Boys 34 17 6 11 68:59 57
7 ASWH 34 16 7 11 74:54 55
8 SteDoCo 34 17 4 13 65:56 55
9 ODIN '59 34 17 3 14 71:66 54
10 Lisse 34 16 3 15 62:64 51
11 VV DOVO 34 14 6 14 76:66 48
12 Ajax (Am) 34 12 5 17 52:61 41
13 ONS Sneek 34 12 3 19 57:58 39
14 VVOG 34 9 8 17 41:72 35
15 Eemdijk 34 9 2 23 51:87 29
16 SJC Noordwijk 34 8 2 24 50:105 26
17 De Dijk 34 4 7 23 49:111 19
18 Achilles 29 34 4 8 22 44:107 16
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2018/2019 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2018/2019 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2019/2020 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jong Volendam 34 22 5 7 97:44 71
2 TEC 34 21 7 6 63:38 70
3 OFC Oostzaan 34 18 8 8 79:43 62
4 GOES 34 20 1 13 80:55 61
5 UNA 34 17 5 12 68:55 56
6 FC OSS '20 34 16 6 12 70:53 54
7 HV & CV Quick 34 15 5 14 67:66 50
8 ADO 20 Heemskerk 34 13 8 13 59:57 47
9 Westlandia 34 14 4 16 59:73 46
10 Dongen 34 14 3 17 51:70 45
11 USV Hercules 34 12 8 14 55:63 44
12 HSC '21 34 14 2 18 51:73 44
13 Blauw Geel 34 12 7 15 62:65 43
14 EVV 34 11 9 14 39:43 41
15 JVC '31 Cuijk 34 12 3 19 43:77 39
16 OJC Rosmalen 34 10 5 19 49:61 35
17 KVV Quick 20 34 8 7 19 53:84 31
18 HBS Craeyenhout 34 7 7 20 37:62 28
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2018/2019 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2018/2019 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2019/2020 (Main)