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Athletic Club Boise vs Fort Wayne

USA USA

USL League One Athletic Club Boise Soccer Stadium (Expo Idaho)
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AI Match Summary

Athletic Club Boise play Fort Wayne in the USL League One. It looks like a close match. Recently, Athletic Club Boise averaged 1.58 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. Fort Wayne averaged 1.56 goals scored and 1.26 conceded. In past meetings, Athletic Club Boise won 0, Fort Wayne won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 24, 2026 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Athletic Club Boise and 1.81 for Fort Wayne. This points to a Fort Wayne double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Athletic Club Boise
20%
Draws
42%
Fort Wayne
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fort Wayne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Athletic Club Boise picked up more points recently compared to Fort Wayne.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 1.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Over 3.5 Goals 33%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
Athletic Club Boise Clean Sheet 11%
Fort Wayne Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Athletic Club Boise Fort Wayne
Matches Played 19 27
Wins 9 12
Draws 3 6
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.58 1.56
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 USL League One
Athletic Club Boise vs Fort Wayne
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Athletic Club Boise Compare

Top Goalscorer Gasso D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Fort Wayne Compare

Top Goalscorer Ricol L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Healy T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Athletic Club Boise 36 / 100
Fort Wayne 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Athletic Club Boise Fort Wayne

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Fort Wayne or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.2%
2.04
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Athletic Club Boise attacking → ← attacking Fort Wayne

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Athletic Club Boise scored in 89% of their last 19 games.

Fort Wayne let in goals in 63% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Athletic Club Boise went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Fort Wayne lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 42
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Union Omaha16101525:1831
2Charlotte Independence1493234:1830
3One Knoxville1493226:1230
4AV Alta FC1667323:1825
5Athletic Club Boise1673623:2324
6Fort Wayne1466220:1224
7Forward Madison1372422:1423
8Spokane Velocity1572617:2123
9Portland Hearts of Pine1555524:2420
10Chattanooga Red Wolves1261522:1519
11Sarasota Paradise18531017:2818
12Corpus Christi FC1646620:2618
13FC Naples17521018:2717
14Westchester SC1542923:2314
15Greenville Triumph1342714:2114
16Richmond Kickers1433812:2412
17New York Cosmos14311017:3310