Sport Picks
Athletic Club vs Criciuma
Brazil
Serie B Estádio Joaquim Portugal, Minas Gerais 
Match Events
5'
5'
Pedro Oliveira
45'
45'
Zeca
46'
46'
Sub
Rodrigo In: Romarinho
Out: Rodrigo
AI Match Summary
The Serie B game between Athletic Club and Criciuma finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Athletic Club.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
15%
26%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Athletic Club
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Athletic Club haven't matched Criciuma's recent run of results.
- Model gives Athletic Club a 59% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Athletic Club Clean Sheet 68%
Criciuma Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Athletic Club | Criciuma |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 13 |
| Draws | 11 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 0.89 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 9, 2026 Serie B
Athletic Club vs Criciuma
2:0
Apr 2, 2026 Serie B
Criciuma vs Athletic Club
1:1
Aug 19, 2025 Serie B
Athletic Club vs Criciuma
1:1
Apr 17, 2025 Serie B
Criciuma vs Athletic Club
4:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Athletic Club Compare
Top Goalscorer Pedro Oliveira
1 Goals Assists Leader Aponza W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Criciuma Compare
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Athletic Club 95 / 100
Criciuma 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Athletic Club Criciuma
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Athletic Club Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Athletic Club scored in 73% of their last 30 games.
H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Athletic Club remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Criciuma's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Athletic Club VS Criciuma
1.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Athletic Club
(Home) 19 Sept
Athletic Club
1 : 1 Botafogo SP
13 Sept
EC Juventude
0 : 2 Athletic Club
08 Sept
Cuiaba
3 : 0 Athletic Club
04 Sept
Athletic Club
5 : 0 Vila Nova FC
28 Aug
Nautico
2 : 1 Athletic Club
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Athletic Club
1 : 1 Botafogo SP
04 Sept
Athletic Club
5 : 0 Vila Nova FC
24 Aug
Athletic Club
1 : 4 Novorizontino
20 Aug
Athletic Club
0 : 2 CRB
09 Aug
Athletic Club
2 : 0 Criciuma
Page 1 of 3
Criciuma
(Away) 13 Sept
Atletico GO
4 : 0 Criciuma
09 Sept
Criciuma
0 : 2 EC Juventude
04 Sept
Criciuma
2 : 0 Cuiaba
30 Aug
CRB
2 : 1 Criciuma
23 Aug
Criciuma
0 : 2 Fortaleza
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Atletico GO
4 : 0 Criciuma
30 Aug
CRB
2 : 1 Criciuma
20 Aug
Botafogo SP
1 : 1 Criciuma
09 Aug
Athletic Club
2 : 0 Criciuma
21 Jul
Novorizontino
0 : 1 Criciuma
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vila Nova FC | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 41:31 | 51 |
| 2 | Novorizontino | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 49:27 | 50 |
| 3 | EC Juventude | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 31:19 | 50 |
| 4 | Fortaleza | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 31:23 | 48 |
| 5 | Criciuma | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 28:25 | 47 |
| 6 | Atletico GO | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 36:27 | 46 |
| 7 | CRB | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 42:40 | 45 |
| 8 | Operario-PR | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 39:36 | 44 |
| 9 | Sport Recife | 29 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 39:29 | 44 |
| 10 | Sao Bernardo | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 40:31 | 41 |
| 11 | Athletic Club | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 34:31 | 41 |
| 12 | Cuiaba | 28 | 9 | 13 | 6 | 27:22 | 40 |
| 13 | Goias | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 28:34 | 39 |
| 14 | Nautico | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 35:33 | 38 |
| 15 | Ceara | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 31:37 | 35 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 32:36 | 32 |
| 17 | Avai | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 29:36 | 30 |
| 18 | Londrina | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 38:39 | 28 |
| 19 | America MG | 29 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 21:49 | 17 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 28 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 16:62 | 10 |
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)
