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Athletico Marseille vs Pontarlier

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National 2 - Group A 2018/2019
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AI Match Summary

The National 2 - Group A 2018/2019 game between Athletico Marseille and Pontarlier finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Athletico Marseille.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Athletico Marseille
15%
Draws
34%
Pontarlier
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Athletico Marseille

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Athletico Marseille come out ahead of Pontarlier on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Athletico Marseille's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular National 2 - Group A 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Athletico Marseille Clean Sheet 20%
Pontarlier Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Athletico Marseille Pontarlier
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 7
Draws 4 5
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.8 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2019 National 1 - Group A
Athletico Marseille vs Pontarlier
4:0
Aug 11, 2018 National 1 - Group A
Pontarlier vs Athletico Marseille
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Athletico Marseille 76 / 100
Pontarlier 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Athletico Marseille Pontarlier

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Athletico Marseille Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Athletico Marseille found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Pontarlier's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Athletico Marseille has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Athletico Marseille VS Pontarlier
2 Goals Scored 0.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Athletico Marseille

(Home)
14 Feb
Athletico Marseille
0 : 1
Aubagne FC
07 Feb
Saint-Zacharie
0 : 1
Athletico Marseille
19 Jan
Athletico Marseille
0 : 2
Rennes
04 Jan
Athletico Marseille
2 : 1
Rodez
07 Dec
RC Grasse
1 : 2
Athletico Marseille
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Pontarlier

(Away)
15 Nov
Pontarlier
2 : 3
Sochaux
07 Jan
Pontarlier
0 : 3
Lyon
09 Dec
Sarre Union
0 : 1
Pontarlier
18 Nov
Colmar
0 : 1
Pontarlier
07 Feb
Pontarlier
0 : 3
Fleury-Merogis
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toulon 30 16 11 3 43:25 59
2 Frejus Saint Raphael 30 17 6 7 51:38 57
3 Annecy 30 15 9 6 50:34 53
4 Jura Sud 30 13 11 6 43:30 50
5 Athletico Marseille 30 14 5 11 57:46 47
6 Marseille Endoume 30 11 11 8 42:34 44
7 Hyeres 30 11 8 11 29:33 41
8 Saint Priest 30 11 7 12 39:42 40
9 Martigues 30 10 11 9 40:30 40
10 RC Grasse 30 10 9 11 35:42 39
11 GOAL FC 30 11 6 13 32:39 39
12 Lyon II 30 10 7 13 56:47 37
13 Marseille II 30 10 5 15 50:57 35
14 Monaco II 30 9 6 15 44:52 33
15 Pontarlier 30 5 7 18 20:53 22
16 Nice II 30 5 5 20 41:70 20
Promotion - National 2019/2020 (Main)