Sport Picks
Athletico-PR vs Flamengo RJ
Brazil
Serie A Betano Arena da Baixada, Curitiba 
Match Events
11'
11'
Mendoza S.
Assist: Benavidez G.
25'
25'
Carrascal J.
28'
28'
Sub
Leo Derik In: Claudinho
Out: Leo Derik
AI Match Summary
The Serie A Betano game between Athletico-PR and Flamengo RJ finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
13%
17%
70%
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Flamengo RJ
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
88%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Flamengo RJ come out ahead of Athletico-PR on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Flamengo RJ's way, sitting at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Athletico-PR Clean Sheet 23%
Flamengo RJ Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Athletico-PR | Flamengo RJ |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 20 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 9 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.75 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.75 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 17, 2026 Serie A Betano
Athletico-PR vs Flamengo RJ
1:1
Sep 29, 2024 Serie A Betano
Flamengo RJ vs Athletico-PR
1:0
Jun 16, 2024 Serie A Betano
Athletico-PR vs Flamengo RJ
1:1
Sep 14, 2023 Serie A Betano
Flamengo RJ vs Athletico-PR
0:3
Jul 13, 2023 Copa Betano do Brasil
Athletico-PR vs Flamengo RJ
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Athletico-PR Compare
Top Goalscorer Mendoza S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Flamengo RJ Compare
Top Goalscorer Pedro
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Athletico-PR 16 / 100
Flamengo RJ 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Athletico-PR Flamengo RJ
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FLA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Athletico-PR scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Athletico-PR has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Flamengo RJ let in goals in 52% of their last 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Athletico-PR VS Flamengo RJ
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Athletico-PR
(Home) 25 Jul
Athletico-PR
2 : 0 Internacional
23 Jul
Sao Paulo
1 : 2 Athletico-PR
11 Jul
Bragantino
2 : 1 Athletico-PR
09 Jul
Boca Juniors
1 : 0 Athletico-PR
30 May
Athletico-PR
1 : 0 Mirassol
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Athletico-PR
2 : 0 Internacional
30 May
Athletico-PR
1 : 0 Mirassol
17 May
Athletico-PR
1 : 1 Flamengo RJ
02 May
Athletico-PR
0 : 0 Gremio
26 Apr
Athletico-PR
3 : 1 Vitoria
Page 1 of 3
Flamengo RJ
(Away) 26 Jul
Flamengo RJ
1 : 1 Sao Paulo
23 Jul
Chapecoense-SC
0 : 4 Flamengo RJ
17 Jul
Flamengo RJ
4 : 2 Olimpia Asuncion
11 Jul
Benfica
1 : 2 Flamengo RJ
08 Jul
Flamengo RJ
2 : 0 Lausanne
Page 1 of 6
23 Jul
Chapecoense-SC
0 : 4 Flamengo RJ
11 Jul
Benfica
1 : 2 Flamengo RJ
17 May
Athletico-PR
1 : 1 Flamengo RJ
15 May
Vitoria
2 : 0 Flamengo RJ
10 May
Gremio
0 : 1 Flamengo RJ
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 34:16 | 44 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 36:17 | 38 |
| 3 | Athletico-PR | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 28:19 | 36 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 30:25 | 33 |
| 5 | Bragantino | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 26:20 | 31 |
| 6 | Bahia | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 29:25 | 31 |
| 7 | Botafogo RJ | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 34:32 | 29 |
| 8 | Atletico-MG | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 25:25 | 28 |
| 9 | Corinthians | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 22:20 | 28 |
| 10 | Coritiba | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 25:27 | 27 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 26:30 | 27 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 25:23 | 26 |
| 13 | Vitoria | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 22:27 | 26 |
| 14 | Santos | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 29:33 | 22 |
| 15 | Gremio | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 22:26 | 22 |
| 16 | Internacional | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 22:26 | 21 |
| 17 | Vasco | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 23:31 | 21 |
| 18 | Remo | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 23:32 | 21 |
| 19 | Mirassol | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 21:26 | 20 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-SC | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 19:41 | 10 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)
