Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Athletico-PR vs Internacional

Brazil Brazil

Serie A Betano Arena da Baixada, Curitiba
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Leozinho
Assist: Viveros K.
60' Event
Viveros K.
62'
Sub
Matheus Bahia In: Aguirre B.
Out: Matheus Bahia

AI Match Summary

The Serie A Betano game between Athletico-PR and Internacional finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Athletico-PR.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Athletico-PR
33%
Draws
27%
Internacional
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Athletico-PR

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Internacional haven't matched Athletico-PR's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Athletico-PR's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Athletico-PR here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Athletico-PR Clean Sheet 68%
Internacional Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Athletico-PR Internacional
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 12
Draws 5 7
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 0.75 1.88
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Serie A Betano
Athletico-PR vs Internacional
2:0
Jan 28, 2026 Serie A Betano
Internacional vs Athletico-PR
0:1
Aug 11, 2024 Serie A Betano
Internacional vs Athletico-PR
2:2
Apr 21, 2024 Serie A Betano
Athletico-PR vs Internacional
1:0
Sep 21, 2023 Serie A Betano
Athletico-PR vs Internacional
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Athletico-PR Compare

Top Goalscorer Leozinho
1 Goals
Assists Leader Viveros K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Internacional Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Athletico-PR 50 / 100
Internacional 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Athletico-PR Internacional

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ATH Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Athletico-PR's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Internacional's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Recent resilience: Athletico-PR stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Athletico-PR VS Internacional
0.75 Goals Scored 1.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
38% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Athletico-PR

(Home)
23 Jul
Sao Paulo
1 : 2
Athletico-PR
11 Jul
Bragantino
2 : 1
Athletico-PR
09 Jul
Boca Juniors
1 : 0
Athletico-PR
30 May
Athletico-PR
1 : 0
Mirassol
24 May
Remo
1 : 2
Athletico-PR
Page 1 of 6

Internacional

(Away)
23 Jul
Internacional
1 : 2
Cruzeiro
31 May
Bragantino
3 : 1
Internacional
23 May
Vitoria
2 : 0
Internacional
16 May
Internacional
4 : 1
Vasco
12 May
Internacional
3 : 2
Athletic Club
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Palmeiras19135133:1444
2Flamengo RJ18114335:1637
3Athletico-PR19103626:1933
4Fluminense1995529:2432
5Bragantino1993726:2030
6Bahia1986528:2430
7Corinthians1976621:1927
8Cruzeiro1976626:2927
9Botafogo RJ1975733:3226
10Coritiba1975725:2726
11Vitoria1975722:2526
12Sao Paulo1974824:2225
13Atletico-MG1974823:2425
14Internacional1956822:2421
15Santos1956827:3121
16Gremio1956821:2521
17Vasco1955922:3020
18Mirassol1854920:2519
19Remo1946921:3218
20Chapecoense-SC19161217:399
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)