Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Athletico-PR vs Internacional

Brazil Brazil

Serie A Betano Arena da Baixada, Curitiba
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Leozinho
Assist: Viveros K.
60' Event
Viveros K.
62'
Sub
Matheus Bahia In: Aguirre B.
Out: Matheus Bahia

AI Match Summary

The Serie A Betano game between Athletico-PR and Internacional finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Athletico-PR.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Athletico-PR
20%
Draws
22%
Internacional
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Athletico-PR

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Internacional haven't matched Athletico-PR's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Athletico-PR's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Athletico-PR here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Athletico-PR Clean Sheet 68%
Internacional Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Athletico-PR Internacional
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 10
Draws 7 9
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.43 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Serie A Betano
Athletico-PR vs Internacional
2:0
Jan 28, 2026 Serie A Betano
Internacional vs Athletico-PR
0:1
Aug 11, 2024 Serie A Betano
Internacional vs Athletico-PR
2:2
Apr 21, 2024 Serie A Betano
Athletico-PR vs Internacional
1:0
Sep 21, 2023 Serie A Betano
Athletico-PR vs Internacional
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Athletico-PR Compare

Top Goalscorer Leozinho
1 Goals
Assists Leader Viveros K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Internacional Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Athletico-PR 68 / 100
Internacional 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Athletico-PR Internacional

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Athletico-PR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Internacional's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Athletico-PR went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Internacional's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Athletico-PR VS Internacional
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Athletico-PR

(Home)
20 Sept
Athletico-PR
2 : 1
Bahia
12 Sept
Coritiba
3 : 3
Athletico-PR
06 Sept
Cruzeiro
3 : 1
Athletico-PR
30 Aug
Athletico-PR
3 : 3
Fluminense
24 Aug
Botafogo RJ
2 : 3
Athletico-PR
Page 1 of 6

Internacional

(Away)
20 Sept
Sao Paulo
1 : 0
Internacional
12 Sept
Chapecoense-SC
1 : 2
Internacional
06 Sept
Internacional
2 : 3
Santos
03 Sept
Gremio
3 : 1
Internacional
30 Aug
Bahia
3 : 2
Internacional
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo RJ 28 18 6 4 55:23 60
2 Palmeiras 28 16 9 3 47:21 57
3 Athletico-PR 28 14 7 7 43:32 49
4 Fluminense 28 13 9 6 44:36 48
5 Bahia 28 12 10 6 43:35 46
6 Cruzeiro 28 13 6 9 42:40 45
7 Atletico-MG 27 11 7 9 36:32 40
8 Santos 27 10 8 9 41:40 38
9 Coritiba 28 10 8 10 37:43 38
10 Bragantino 27 10 6 11 33:31 36
11 Sao Paulo 27 10 6 11 32:30 36
12 Botafogo RJ 28 9 8 11 41:45 35
13 Vitoria 28 9 6 13 28:42 33
14 Corinthians 28 8 8 12 29:32 32
15 Mirassol 28 8 8 12 33:42 32
16 Vasco 27 8 7 12 34:41 31
17 Gremio 28 7 8 13 30:38 29
18 Internacional 28 6 10 12 30:36 28
19 Remo 28 5 8 15 32:47 23
20 Chapecoense-SC 27 3 9 15 29:53 18
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)