Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atl. Madrid B vs Murcia

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 2 Estadio Atlético de Madrid CD, Alcala de Henares
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Santos A.
(Penalty)
17'
Mier J.
19'
Sub
Esteban S. In: Cubo M.
Out: Esteban S.

AI Match Summary

Atl. Madrid B in this Primera RFEF - Group 2 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atl. Madrid B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Atl. Madrid B
15%
Draws
54%
Murcia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Murcia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Atl. Madrid B haven't matched Murcia's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Atl. Madrid B Clean Sheet 13%
Murcia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atl. Madrid B Murcia
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 13
Draws 9 6
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.6 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Atl. Madrid B vs Murcia
4:0
Apr 5, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Murcia vs Atl. Madrid B
2:1
Sep 14, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Atl. Madrid B vs Murcia
1:1
Mar 7, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Atl. Madrid B vs Murcia
2:1
Nov 9, 2024 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Murcia vs Atl. Madrid B
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atl. Madrid B Compare

Top Goalscorer Cubo M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Alcaniz E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Murcia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atl. Madrid B 35 / 100
Murcia 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atl. Madrid B Murcia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Murcia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atl. Madrid B found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Murcia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Atl. Madrid B remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Atl. Madrid B VS Murcia
1.13 Goals Scored 2.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Atl. Madrid B

(Home)
13 Sept
Atl. Madrid B
4 : 0
Murcia
06 Sept
Hercules
0 : 2
Atl. Madrid B
30 Aug
Atl. Madrid B
2 : 2
Torremolinos
22 Aug
CD Extremadura
3 : 0
Atl. Madrid B
13 Aug
Atl. Madrid B
1 : 2
Mirandes
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Murcia

(Away)
16 Sept
Orihuela
1 : 4
Murcia
13 Sept
Atl. Madrid B
4 : 0
Murcia
09 Sept
Mensajero
1 : 2
Murcia
06 Sept
Murcia
4 : 0
Teruel
29 Aug
Hercules
1 : 2
Murcia
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Villarreal B 4 3 1 0 9:4 10
2 Jaen 4 3 1 0 8:3 10
3 Murcia 4 3 0 1 8:6 9
4 Atl. Madrid B 4 2 2 0 8:2 8
5 Gimnastic de Tarragona 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
6 UD Ibiza 4 2 0 2 7:6 6
7 Zaragoza 3 2 0 1 5:5 6
8 FC Cartagena SAD 3 1 2 0 4:2 5
9 Antequera 4 1 2 1 6:6 5
10 Huesca 4 1 2 1 3:5 5
11 Real Madrid B 3 1 1 1 2:1 4
12 Rayo Majadahonda 4 1 1 2 5:5 4
13 Aguilas FC 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
14 Alcorcon 3 0 3 0 3:3 3
15 Sant Andreu 3 1 0 2 2:3 3
16 Hercules 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
17 Torremolinos 3 0 1 2 5:8 1
18 CE Europa 4 0 1 3 2:7 1
19 Teruel 4 0 1 3 0:7 1
20 Algeciras 3 0 0 3 4:9 0
Promotion - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)