Sport Picks
Atl. Madrid C vs Alcorcon B
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 
Match Events
47'
47'
Lopez D.
86'
86'
Esteban S.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
30%
37%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Alcorcon B
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Alcorcon B haven't matched Atl. Madrid C's recent run of results.
- 37% — that's where the model lands on Alcorcon B taking it.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Atl. Madrid C Clean Sheet 16%
Alcorcon B Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Atl. Madrid C | Alcorcon B |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 34 |
| Wins | 15 | 13 |
| Draws | 9 | 10 |
| Losses | 6 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.3 | 1.15 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.27 | 0.91 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 8, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Atl. Madrid C vs Alcorcon B
1:1
Sep 27, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Alcorcon B vs Atl. Madrid C
1:3
May 3, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Atl. Madrid C vs Alcorcon B
1:1
Dec 20, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Alcorcon B vs Atl. Madrid C
4:1
Mar 2, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Atl. Madrid C vs Alcorcon B
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Atl. Madrid C Compare
Top Goalscorer Esteban S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Alcorcon B Compare
Top Goalscorer Lopez D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Atl. Madrid C 15 / 100
Alcorcon B 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Atl. Madrid C Alcorcon B
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Alcorcon B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Atl. Madrid C found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).
Alcorcon B has conceded goals in 74% of their last 34 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Atl. Madrid C has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Atl. Madrid C VS Alcorcon B
2.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Atl. Madrid C
(Home) 19 Sept
Atletico Paso
0 : 1 Atl. Madrid C
13 Sept
Numancia
2 : 0 Atl. Madrid C
05 Sept
Atl. Madrid C
2 : 1 Real Avila
10 May
Atl. Madrid C
1 : 1 CD Mostoles
03 May
San Sebastian Reyes B
1 : 0 Atl. Madrid C
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05 Sept
Atl. Madrid C
2 : 1 Real Avila
10 May
Atl. Madrid C
1 : 1 CD Mostoles
25 Apr
Atl. Madrid C
5 : 1 Ciudad de Madrid
11 Apr
Atl. Madrid C
3 : 0 Union Adarve
28 Mar
Atl. Madrid C
2 : 3 Galapagar
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Alcorcon B
(Away) 10 May
Trival Valderas
2 : 2 Alcorcon B
03 May
Alcorcon B
0 : 1 AD Torrejon
26 Apr
Parla
0 : 4 Alcorcon B
19 Apr
Galapagar
0 : 2 Alcorcon B
11 Apr
Alcorcon B
1 : 1 Mexico
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10 May
Trival Valderas
2 : 2 Alcorcon B
26 Apr
Parla
0 : 4 Alcorcon B
19 Apr
Galapagar
0 : 2 Alcorcon B
02 Apr
Tres Cantos
1 : 3 Alcorcon B
22 Mar
CD Mostoles
0 : 1 Alcorcon B
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atl. Madrid C | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 83:46 | 64 |
| 2 | Trival Valderas | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 50:36 | 60 |
| 3 | AD Torrejon | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 57:46 | 60 |
| 4 | CD Las Rozas | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 58:42 | 56 |
| 5 | Leganes B | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 63:33 | 54 |
| 6 | Union Adarve | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 48:42 | 53 |
| 7 | CD Mostoles | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 51:45 | 51 |
| 8 | San Sebastian Reyes B | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 45:35 | 49 |
| 9 | Pozuelo de Alarcon | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 40:33 | 48 |
| 10 | Galapagar | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 42:47 | 46 |
| 11 | Mexico | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 45:49 | 45 |
| 12 | Siello | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 39:45 | 44 |
| 13 | Alcorcon B | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 37:34 | 44 |
| 14 | Villaverde San Andres | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 32:44 | 43 |
| 15 | Carabanchel | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 30:36 | 38 |
| 16 | Tres Cantos | 34 | 10 | 3 | 21 | 40:65 | 33 |
| 17 | Parla | 34 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 29:66 | 27 |
| 18 | Ciudad de Madrid | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 31:76 | 22 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
