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Atl. Madrid C vs Galapagar

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Ferreres F.
44' Event
Vinatea S.
46' Event
Ferreres F.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 game between Atl. Madrid C and Galapagar finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Galapagar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Atl. Madrid C
20%
Draws
47%
Galapagar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Galapagar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Atl. Madrid C come out ahead of Galapagar on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Galapagar's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Atl. Madrid C Clean Sheet 13%
Galapagar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atl. Madrid C Galapagar
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 10
Draws 9 10
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 2.38 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Atl. Madrid C vs Galapagar
2:3
Nov 15, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Galapagar vs Atl. Madrid C
1:8

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atl. Madrid C Compare

Top Goalscorer Vinatea S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Castellanos J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Galapagar Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferreres F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gomez de Figueroa A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atl. Madrid C 10 / 100
Galapagar 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atl. Madrid C Galapagar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Galapagar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atl. Madrid C found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 7.00 goals as a typical output.

Galapagar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Atl. Madrid C went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atl. Madrid C VS Galapagar
2.13 Goals Scored 2.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Atl. Madrid C

(Home)
19 Sept
Atletico Paso
0 : 1
Atl. Madrid C
13 Sept
Numancia
2 : 0
Atl. Madrid C
05 Sept
Atl. Madrid C
2 : 1
Real Avila
10 May
Atl. Madrid C
1 : 1
CD Mostoles
03 May
San Sebastian Reyes B
1 : 0
Atl. Madrid C
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Galapagar

(Away)
12 Sept
Real Aranjuez
2 : 5
Galapagar
06 Sept
Galapagar
1 : 1
Pozuelo de Alarcon
10 May
Galapagar
3 : 1
CD Las Rozas
03 May
Parla
0 : 5
Galapagar
26 Apr
Union Adarve
3 : 1
Galapagar
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Madrid C 34 18 10 6 83:46 64
2 Trival Valderas 34 18 6 10 50:36 60
3 AD Torrejon 34 17 9 8 57:46 60
4 CD Las Rozas 34 16 8 10 58:42 56
5 Leganes B 34 15 9 10 63:33 54
6 Union Adarve 34 15 8 11 48:42 53
7 CD Mostoles 34 14 9 11 51:45 51
8 San Sebastian Reyes B 34 12 13 9 45:35 49
9 Pozuelo de Alarcon 34 12 12 10 40:33 48
10 Galapagar 34 11 13 10 42:47 46
11 Mexico 34 12 9 13 45:49 45
12 Siello 34 13 5 16 39:45 44
13 Alcorcon B 34 11 11 12 37:34 44
14 Villaverde San Andres 34 10 13 11 32:44 43
15 Carabanchel 34 9 11 14 30:36 38
16 Tres Cantos 34 10 3 21 40:65 33
17 Parla 34 7 6 21 29:66 27
18 Ciudad de Madrid 34 5 7 22 31:76 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 (Play Offs)