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Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) vs Nautico FC

Brazil Brazil

Roraimense 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Giovanni
31' Event
Oliveira K.
39'
Chicao

AI Match Summary

The Roraimense 2025 game between Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) and Nautico FC finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima).

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
39%
Draws
31%
Nautico FC
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Nautico FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Roraimense 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) Clean Sheet 20%
Nautico FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) Nautico FC
Matches Played 32 36
Wins 7 10
Draws 4 9
Losses 21 17
Goals Scored 1.25 0.25
Goals Conceded 2 2.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2026 Roraimense
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) vs Nautico FC
1:0
Mar 19, 2025 Roraimense
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) vs Nautico FC
5:1
Mar 20, 2024 Roraimense
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) vs Nautico FC
0:2
Mar 21, 2023 Roraimense
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) vs Nautico FC
0:4
Mar 22, 2022 Roraimense
Nautico FC vs Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) Compare

Top Goalscorer Dantas M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Vitor J.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Nautico FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Oliveira K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.23
Avg xA / game 0.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) 31 / 100
Nautico FC 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) Nautico FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RIO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nautico FC has conceded goals in 78% of their last 36 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Nautico FC's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) scored in 50% of their last 32 games.

Scoring Trends

Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) VS Nautico FC
1.25 Goals Scored 0.25
2 Goals Conceded 2.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)

(Home)
19 Mar
Atl. Roraima
1 : 3
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
11 Mar
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
1 : 4
Bare
04 Mar
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
0 : 2
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
28 Feb
Progresso
3 : 1
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
21 Feb
Monte Roraima
3 : 0
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
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Nautico FC

(Away)
18 Mar
Nautico FC
2 : 0
Progresso
15 Mar
River Esporte Clube
5 : 0
Nautico FC
08 Mar
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
4 : 1
Nautico FC
05 Mar
Nautico FC
0 : 1
Monte Roraima
24 Feb
Atl. Roraima
0 : 0
Nautico FC
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gremio Atletico Sampaio751123:516
2Bare751119:316
3Monte Roraima742112:414
4Sao Raimundo RR741215:713
5Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)73139:1110
6Nautico FC71159:224
7Atl. Roraima70343:203
8Progresso70251:192
Promotion - Roraimense 2025 (Play Offs)