Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atl. Tucuman vs Gimnasia L.P.

Argentina Argentina

Liga Profesional Estadio Monumental Jose Fierro, Tucuman
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Errecalde G.
12' Event
Ferreira Namandu C. D.
Assist: Franco N.
31'
Max A.

AI Match Summary

Atl. Tucuman in this Liga Profesional matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atl. Tucuman.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Atl. Tucuman
17%
Draws
13%
Gimnasia L.P.
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Atl. Tucuman

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gimnasia L.P. lately — more wins on the board than Atl. Tucuman.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Atl. Tucuman taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Gimnasia L.P. have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Atl. Tucuman Clean Sheet 68%
Gimnasia L.P. Clean Sheet 22%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atl. Tucuman Gimnasia L.P.
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 17
Draws 6 3
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 0.63 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.25 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Liga Profesional
Atl. Tucuman vs Gimnasia L.P.
1:0
Sep 1, 2025 Liga Profesional
Gimnasia L.P. vs Atl. Tucuman
1:0
Feb 24, 2025 Liga Profesional
Atl. Tucuman vs Gimnasia L.P.
0:1
Nov 24, 2024 Liga Profesional
Gimnasia L.P. vs Atl. Tucuman
1:0
May 23, 2024 Copa Argentina
Atl. Tucuman vs Gimnasia L.P.
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atl. Tucuman Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferreira Namandu C. D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Gimnasia L.P. Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atl. Tucuman 77 / 100
Gimnasia L.P. 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atl. Tucuman Gimnasia L.P.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TUC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atl. Tucuman's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Gimnasia L.P. let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Atl. Tucuman remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Atl. Tucuman VS Gimnasia L.P.
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
25% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Atl. Tucuman

(Home)
26 Jul
Atl. Tucuman
0 : 0
Ind. Rivadavia
20 May
Talleres Cordoba
0 : 3
Atl. Tucuman
03 May
River Plate
0 : 1
Atl. Tucuman
26 Apr
Atl. Tucuman
1 : 1
Banfield
19 Apr
Argentinos Jrs
1 : 0
Atl. Tucuman
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Gimnasia L.P.

(Away)
24 Jul
Racing Club
2 : 1
Gimnasia L.P.
07 Jul
Dynamo Makhachkala
1 : 3
Gimnasia L.P.
05 Jul
Zenit St Petersburg
1 : 1
Gimnasia L.P.
14 May
River Plate
2 : 0
Gimnasia L.P.
11 May
Velez Sarsfield
0 : 1
Gimnasia L.P.
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Estudiantes L.P.1694319:731
2Boca Juniors1686222:930
3Velez Sarsfield1677218:1228
4Talleres Cordoba1675417:1326
5Independiente1666424:2024
6Lanus1666418:1524
7San Lorenzo1657414:1422
8Union de Santa Fe1656524:2021
9Instituto1663717:1721
10Defensa y Justicia1647518:2119
11Gimnasia Mendoza1654714:2219
12Platense1637610:1516
13Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero)1644811:2116
14Newells Old Boys1636715:2715
15Deportivo Riestra161875:1211
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ind. Rivadavia16104229:1534
2River Plate1692522:1229
3Argentinos Jrs1685317:1329
4Rosario Central1684420:1628
5CA Belgrano de Cordoba1675417:1326
6Gimnasia L.P.1682619:1926
7Huracan1657417:1322
8Racing Club1656517:1521
9Barracas Central1656515:1521
10Tigre1648418:1520
11Sarmiento Junin1661913:2019
12Banfield1653817:1918
13Atl. Tucuman1635815:2014
14Aldosivi160886:198
15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto1612135:245
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Apertura - Play Offs)