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Atlanta SC vs Philadelphia Fury

USA USA

NISA 2019/2020
Sat, Sep 28, 2019
3 - 0
11:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atlanta SC play Philadelphia Fury in the NISA 2019/2020. Atlanta SC are favorites here. Recently, Atlanta SC averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Philadelphia Fury averaged 0.25 goals scored and 3.13 conceded. In past meetings, Atlanta SC won 2, Philadelphia Fury won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 28, 2019 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.00 for Atlanta SC and 0.81 for Philadelphia Fury. This points to a Atlanta SC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Atlanta SC
26%
Draws
13%
Philadelphia Fury
Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: Atlanta SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

92% / Very High Confidence
  • Atlanta SC picked up more points recently compared to Philadelphia Fury.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.00 vs 0.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
Atlanta SC Clean Sheet 26%
Philadelphia Fury Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atlanta SC Philadelphia Fury
Matches Played 30 8
Wins 9 0
Draws 9 1
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.4 0.25
Goals Conceded 1.5 3.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 3.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2019 NISA
Atlanta SC vs Philadelphia Fury
3:0
Sep 21, 2019 NISA
Philadelphia Fury vs Atlanta SC
0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atlanta SC 60 / 100
Philadelphia Fury 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atlanta SC Philadelphia Fury

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atlanta SC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Atlanta SC & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.3%
1.89
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.5%
1.61
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Atlanta SC attacking → ← attacking Philadelphia Fury

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atlanta SC scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Philadelphia Fury let in goals in 100% of their last 8 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Atlanta SC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Philadelphia Fury lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 1
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.25
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Miami FC652019:614
2Stumptown640213:712
3Atlanta SC622213:108
4Philadelphia Fury60061:230
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1LA Force63218:711
2California United633113:99
3San Diego 190462049:156
4Oakland Roots603310:133