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Atlanta SC vs Tampa Bay

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NASL 2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atlanta SC play Tampa Bay in the NASL 2015. It looks like a close match. Recently, Atlanta SC averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Tampa Bay averaged 1.7 goals scored and 0.77 conceded. In past meetings, Atlanta SC won 0, Tampa Bay won 3, and they drew 2. Their last match on Oct 17, 2015 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.85 for Atlanta SC and 1.43 for Tampa Bay. This points to a Tampa Bay double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Atlanta SC
32%
Draws
45%
Tampa Bay
Draw rate projection: 32% Favored: Tampa Bay

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Atlanta SC picked up more points recently compared to Tampa Bay.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.85 vs 1.43 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%
Atlanta SC Clean Sheet 17%
Tampa Bay Clean Sheet 17%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atlanta SC Tampa Bay
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 19
Draws 9 8
Losses 12 3
Goals Scored 1.4 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.77

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 17, 2015 NASL
Atlanta SC vs Tampa Bay
0:0
Jul 4, 2015 NASL
Tampa Bay vs Atlanta SC
2:1
Jun 13, 2015 NASL
Tampa Bay vs Atlanta SC
3:0
Oct 18, 2014 NASL
Atlanta SC vs Tampa Bay
1:1
Jul 12, 2014 NASL
Tampa Bay vs Atlanta SC
3:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atlanta SC 24 / 100
Tampa Bay 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atlanta SC Tampa Bay

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Tampa Bay or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +53.4%
6.67
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.8%
2.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Atlanta SC attacking → ← attacking Tampa Bay

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atlanta SC scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Tampa Bay let in goals in 47% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Atlanta SC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Tampa Bay lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 65
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50

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