Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atlanta United 2 vs Toronto FC II

USA USA

MLS Next Pro Fifth Third Stadium, Kennesaw, GA
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Chica D.
Assist: Senanou M.
40'
Fisher R.
64'
Sub
Jardines A. In: Torres A.
Out: Jardines A.

AI Match Summary

Atlanta United 2 in this MLS Next Pro matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atlanta United 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Atlanta United 2
17%
Draws
13%
Toronto FC II
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Atlanta United 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Atlanta United 2 lately — more wins on the board than Toronto FC II.
  • Model gives Atlanta United 2 a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Atlanta United 2 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Atlanta United 2 Clean Sheet 11%
Toronto FC II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atlanta United 2 Toronto FC II
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 12
Draws 0 0
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 2.25 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.13 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Atlanta United 2 vs Toronto FC II
1:0
Aug 8, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Toronto FC II vs Atlanta United 2
1:3
Aug 11, 2024 MLS Next Pro
Atlanta United 2 vs Toronto FC II
2:1
Jun 18, 2023 MLS Next Pro
Toronto FC II vs Atlanta United 2
1:0
May 28, 2023 MLS Next Pro
Atlanta United 2 vs Toronto FC II
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atlanta United 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Chica D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Toronto FC II Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atlanta United 2 65 / 100
Toronto FC II 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atlanta United 2 Toronto FC II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ATL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atlanta United 2 scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Toronto FC II has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Atlanta United 2 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Atlanta United 2 VS Toronto FC II
2.25 Goals Scored 1.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Atlanta United 2

(Home)
26 Jul
Atlanta United 2
3 : 2
New York City II
19 Jul
Huntsville City
2 : 0
Atlanta United 2
11 Jul
Atlanta United 2
4 : 1
Inter Miami II
04 Jul
Atlanta United 2
1 : 0
Toronto FC II
27 Jun
Atlanta United 2
3 : 4
Crown Legacy
Page 1 of 6

Toronto FC II

(Away)
25 Jul
Inter Miami II
2 : 1
Toronto FC II
17 Jul
Toronto FC II
3 : 1
FC Cincinnati 2
12 Jul
CT United FC
3 : 2
Toronto FC II
04 Jul
Atlanta United 2
1 : 0
Toronto FC II
28 Jun
Toronto FC II
1 : 3
New England Revolution II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Columbus Crew 219140535:2939
2New England Revolution II18120626:2035
3New York Red Bulls II201001040:3232
4CT United FC18100833:3228
5New York City II1790827:2628
6Philadelphia Union II20901121:2726
7Toronto FC II20801231:3825
8FC Cincinnati 218501317:3414
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Crown Legacy19140547:2740
2Chattanooga20130739:3037
3Orlando City B19120740:3335
4Atlanta United 21890938:2830
5Chicago Fire II19100934:2830
6Huntsville City18801031:3525
7Carolina Core21601527:3721
8Inter Miami II18201616:468
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portland Timbers 219120725:2337
2Ventura County20120837:2735
3Los Angeles FC 219100930:3231
4San Jose Earthquakes II1890937:2328
5Tacoma Defiance19901023:2627
6Real Monarchs19100931:3526
7Vancouver Whitecaps 220601425:4417
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Austin FC II18140440:1643
2Houston Dynamo 217140339:1540
3Minnesota United 2201001028:3229
4St. Louis City 219100930:3229
5North Texas18801029:2326
6Sporting Kansas City II19501424:5016
7Colorado Rapids 219301617:3712
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Crown Legacy19140547:2740
2Columbus Crew 219140535:2939
3Chattanooga20130739:3037
4New England Revolution II18120626:2035
5Orlando City B19120740:3335
6New York Red Bulls II201001040:3232
7Atlanta United 21890938:2830
8Chicago Fire II19100934:2830
9CT United FC18100833:3228
10New York City II1790827:2628
11Philadelphia Union II20901121:2726
12Toronto FC II20801231:3825
13Huntsville City18801031:3525
14Carolina Core21601527:3721
15FC Cincinnati 218501317:3414
16Inter Miami II18201616:468
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Austin FC II18140440:1643
2Houston Dynamo 217140339:1540
3Portland Timbers 219120725:2337
4Ventura County20120837:2735
5Los Angeles FC 219100930:3231
6Minnesota United 2201001028:3229
7St. Louis City 219100930:3229
8San Jose Earthquakes II1890937:2328
9Tacoma Defiance19901023:2627
10North Texas18801029:2326
11Real Monarchs19100931:3526
12Vancouver Whitecaps 220601425:4417
13Sporting Kansas City II19501424:5016
14Colorado Rapids 219301617:3712
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)