Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atlanta United vs CF Montreal

USA USA

MLS Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Latte Lath E.
6' Event
Longstaff M.
Assist: Owusu P.
20'
Piette S.

AI Match Summary

Atlanta United in this MLS matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atlanta United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Atlanta United
17%
Draws
70%
CF Montreal
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: CF Montreal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CF Montreal lately — more wins on the board than Atlanta United.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on CF Montreal taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Atlanta United Clean Sheet 12%
CF Montreal Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atlanta United CF Montreal
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 7 10
Draws 5 5
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 MLS
Atlanta United vs CF Montreal
3:1
Aug 9, 2025 MLS
CF Montreal vs Atlanta United
1:1
Feb 23, 2025 MLS
Atlanta United vs CF Montreal
3:2
Oct 22, 2024 MLS
CF Montreal vs Atlanta United
2:3
Oct 2, 2024 MLS
Atlanta United vs CF Montreal
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atlanta United Compare

Top Goalscorer Lobjanidze S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Latte Lath E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

CF Montreal Compare

Top Goalscorer Longstaff M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atlanta United 14 / 100
CF Montreal 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atlanta United CF Montreal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CFM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: CF Montreal conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Atlanta United scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Atlanta United stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atlanta United VS CF Montreal
1 Goals Scored 2.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps14102234:1232
2San Jose Earthquakes15102334:1532
3Los Angeles FC1683527:1727
4Real Salt Lake1482426:1926
5FC Dallas1574430:2225
6Seattle Sounders1473418:1624
7Houston Dynamo1471619:2322
8Minnesota United1564518:2222
9Los Angeles Galaxy1655622:2520
10St. Louis City1554619:2219
11Portland Timbers1552827:2917
12San Diego FC1545630:2717
13Colorado Rapids1551925:2416
14Austin FC1535719:3114
15Sporting Kansas City15321016:3911
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nashville SC15113132:1136
2Inter Miami1594239:2831
3Chicago Fire1482427:1626
4New England Revolution1481522:1825
5New York Red Bulls1564525:3222
6Charlotte FC1563624:2321
7FC Cincinnati1555536:3720
8New York City1554625:2119
9DC United1546521:2518
10Columbus Crew1544721:2316
11CF Montreal1543822:3115
12Toronto FC1536622:2915
13Orlando City1542923:4414
14Atlanta United15321014:2411
15Philadelphia Union15141018:307