Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atlanta United vs New England Revolution

USA USA

MLS Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Yusuf A.
38' Event
Picault F.
44'
Galarza M.

AI Match Summary

The MLS game between Atlanta United and New England Revolution finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward New England Revolution.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Atlanta United
28%
Draws
50%
New England Revolution
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: New England Revolution

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • New England Revolution carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives New England Revolution a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors New England Revolution here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Atlanta United Clean Sheet 18%
New England Revolution Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atlanta United New England Revolution
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 7 12
Draws 5 4
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1.25 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2026 MLS
Atlanta United vs New England Revolution
1:2
Sep 27, 2025 MLS
New England Revolution vs Atlanta United
2:0
Apr 12, 2025 MLS
Atlanta United vs New England Revolution
0:1
Feb 8, 2025 Club Friendly
Atlanta United vs New England Revolution
2:0
Jul 3, 2024 MLS
New England Revolution vs Atlanta United
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atlanta United Compare

Top Goalscorer Picault F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

New England Revolution Compare

Top Goalscorer Sands W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Miller P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atlanta United 23 / 100
New England Revolution 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atlanta United New England Revolution

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ENG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New England Revolution has conceded goals in 81% of their last 26 outings.

Atlanta United scored in 61% of their last 28 games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Atlanta United has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Atlanta United VS New England Revolution
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps14102234:1232
2San Jose Earthquakes15102334:1532
3Los Angeles FC1683527:1727
4Real Salt Lake1482426:1926
5FC Dallas1574430:2225
6Seattle Sounders1473418:1624
7Houston Dynamo1471619:2322
8Minnesota United1564518:2222
9Los Angeles Galaxy1655622:2520
10St. Louis City1554619:2219
11Portland Timbers1552827:2917
12San Diego FC1545630:2717
13Colorado Rapids1551925:2416
14Austin FC1535719:3114
15Sporting Kansas City15321016:3911
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nashville SC15113132:1136
2Inter Miami1594239:2831
3Chicago Fire1482427:1626
4New England Revolution1481522:1825
5New York Red Bulls1564525:3222
6Charlotte FC1563624:2321
7FC Cincinnati1555536:3720
8New York City1554625:2119
9DC United1546521:2518
10Columbus Crew1544721:2316
11CF Montreal1543822:3115
12Toronto FC1536622:2915
13Orlando City1542923:4414
14Atlanta United15321014:2411
15Philadelphia Union15141018:307