Sport Picks

Mexico

Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 Estadio Agustín "Coruco" Díaz

Atlante

3 - 0

Venados FC

Our Tip

Match Events

39'

Delgado A.

39'

Trejo Castro M. A.

46'

Sub

Galvan P. In: Grijalva A.

Out: Galvan P.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Atlante in this Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atlante.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

Atlante

33%

Draws

40%

Venados FC

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Venados FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Venados FC haven't matched Atlante's recent run of results.
Model gives Venados FC a 40% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 91.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 29%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%

Atlante Clean Sheet 17%

Venados FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Atlante	Venados FC
Matches Played	33	29
Wins	13	9
Draws	11	7
Losses	9	13
Goals Scored	1.63	1.5
Goals Conceded	1.25	1.17
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.17

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX

Venados FC vs Atlante

Possession: 41% - 56% Cards: 2 - 1

4:1

Oct 19, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX

Atlante vs Venados FC

Possession: 41% - 56% Cards: 2 - 0

3:0

Feb 3, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX

Venados FC vs Atlante

Possession: 49% - 48% Cards: 3 - 3

1:1

Aug 17, 2024 Liga de Expansion MX

Atlante vs Venados FC

Possession: 40% - 47% Cards: 2 - 2

1:0

Feb 28, 2024 Liga de Expansion MX

Venados FC vs Atlante

Possession: 42% - 60% Cards: 4 - 1

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atlante Compare

Top Goalscorer Cruz D.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Meza H.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

Venados FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atlante 28 / 100

Venados FC 38 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Atlante Venados FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VEN Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atlante scored in 82% of their last 33 games.

Venados FC let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Atlante went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atlante VS Venados FC

1.63 Goals Scored 1.5

1.25 Goals Conceded 1.17

100% Over 1.5 83%

50% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 33%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Atlante	14	9	3	2	35:10	30
2	Cancun	14	9	3	2	25:7	30
3	Jaiba Brava	14	8	6	0	24:15	30
4	Irapuato	14	6	5	3	23:19	23
5	Zacatecas Mineros	14	5	6	3	26:24	21
6	Leones Negros	14	6	3	5	19:17	21
7	Club Atletico Morelia	14	5	4	5	19:21	19
8	Tepatitlan de Morelos	14	4	6	4	21:16	18
9	Venados FC	14	5	3	6	29:30	18
10	Atletico La Paz	14	4	5	5	25:30	17
11	Tapatio	14	4	3	7	20:18	15
12	Tlaxcala	14	3	5	6	14:27	14
13	Alebrijes de Oaxaca	14	3	4	7	16:25	13
14	Correcaminos	14	2	4	8	16:35	10
15	Dorados de Sinaloa	14	1	2	11	8:26	5