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Stadium Background

Atlas U21 vs Tigres UANL U21

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX U21
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Castaneda M.
61' Event
Vazquez Avalos O.
63'
Trejo D.

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX U21 game between Atlas U21 and Tigres UANL U21 finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atlas U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Atlas U21
15%
Draws
21%
Tigres UANL U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atlas U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Atlas U21 have managed 1.31 goals a game lately — Tigres UANL U21 are scoring more at 1.38.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Atlas U21 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Atlas U21 here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Atlas U21 Clean Sheet 68%
Tigres UANL U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atlas U21 Tigres UANL U21
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 14 14
Draws 2 1
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 1.31 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Liga MX U21
Atlas U21 vs Tigres UANL U21
2:0
Apr 22, 2026 Liga MX U21
Atlas U21 vs Tigres UANL U21
2:1
Sep 24, 2025 Liga MX U21
Tigres UANL U21 vs Atlas U21
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atlas U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Castaneda M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vazquez Avalos O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Tigres UANL U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atlas U21 86 / 100
Tigres UANL U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atlas U21 Tigres UANL U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atlas U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Atlas U21's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Tigres UANL U21 conceded in 78% of 32 recent games.

Atlas U21 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atlas U21 VS Tigres UANL U21
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Atlas U21

(Home)
12 Sept
Toluca U21
2 : 0
Atlas U21
05 Sept
Atlas U21
4 : 0
Atlante U21
29 Aug
Atlas U21
2 : 0
Queretaro U21
22 Aug
Cruz Azul U21
3 : 2
Atlas U21
15 Aug
Atlas U21
2 : 0
Tigres UANL U21
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Tigres UANL U21

(Away)
18 Sept
Juarez U21
2 : 1
Tigres UANL U21
13 Sept
Monterrey U21
1 : 2
Tigres UANL U21
05 Sept
Tigres UANL U21
0 : 1
Necaxa U21
29 Aug
Santos Laguna U21
1 : 0
Tigres UANL U21
21 Aug
Tigres UANL U21
2 : 3
Atlante U21
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Leon U21 8 7 0 1 16:9 18
2 Club Tijuana U21 7 5 0 2 13:8 17
3 Toluca U21 6 6 0 0 12:3 16
4 Puebla U21 8 5 0 3 10:6 16
5 Club America U21 8 5 0 3 13:11 15
6 Guadalajara Chivas U21 7 4 0 3 11:9 12
7 Cruz Azul U21 7 5 0 2 16:10 11
8 Necaxa U21 8 4 0 4 8:12 11
9 Atlas U21 7 3 0 4 10:7 10
10 Juarez U21 7 4 0 3 8:8 10
11 Pachuca U21 8 2 0 6 8:12 10
12 Santos Laguna U21 7 3 0 4 6:10 10
13 Atlante U21 9 3 0 6 9:16 10
14 Monterrey U21 6 3 0 3 11:7 9
15 Atletico San Luis U21 8 3 0 5 12:16 8
16 Tigres UANL U21 9 2 0 7 8:18 8
17 UNAM Pumas U21 7 2 0 5 6:9 7
18 Queretaro U21 7 1 0 6 6:12 3
Promotion - Liga MX U21 (Apertura - Play Offs)