Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atlas W vs Club America W

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women 2025/2026 Estadio Colomos, Zapopan
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Soto A.
39' Event
Ceren B.
45' Event
Ceren B.

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX Women 2025/2026 game between Atlas W and Club America W finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Club America W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Atlas W
6%
Draws
90%
Club America W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Club America W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Club America W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Club America W a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Club America W here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.6%
Atlas W Clean Sheet 14%
Club America W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atlas W Club America W
Matches Played 29 36
Wins 8 22
Draws 5 8
Losses 16 6
Goals Scored 1 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.40 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2026 Liga MX Women
Club America W vs Atlas W
2:0
Oct 16, 2025 Liga MX Women
Atlas W vs Club America W
2:3
Jan 22, 2025 Liga MX Women
Atlas W vs Club America W
0:3
Nov 3, 2024 Liga MX Women
Club America W vs Atlas W
4:1
Jan 6, 2024 Liga MX Women
Club America W vs Atlas W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atlas W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ceren B.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Club America W Compare

Top Goalscorer Palacios K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Soto A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atlas W 10 / 100
Club America W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atlas W Club America W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CLU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Atlas W found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Club America W has conceded goals in 72% of their last 36 outings.

Solid form: Atlas W remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Atlas W VS Club America W
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1.4 Goals Conceded 1.88
80% Over 1.5 75%
40% Over 2.5 50%
20% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Atlas W

(Home)
25 Apr
Atlas W
1 : 2
Juarez W
05 Apr
Atlas W
1 : 1
Santos Laguna W
02 Apr
Club America W
2 : 0
Atlas W
28 Mar
Atlas W
3 : 2
Necaxa W
24 Mar
Club Leon W
4 : 0
Atlas W
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Club America W

(Away)
26 Jul
Club America W
2 : 1
Tigres UANL W
24 May
Club America W
5 : 3
Washington Spirit W
20 May
Club America W
4 : 1
Gotham FC W
17 May
Club America W
3 : 0
Monterrey W
15 May
Monterrey W
1 : 0
Club America W
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tigres UANL W17133160:1142
2Pachuca W17133160:2042
3Club America W17122356:2238
4Toluca W17105235:1735
5Guadalajara Chivas W17103429:1733
6Monterrey W17102538:2432
7Cruz Azul W1784542:2728
8Juarez W1776424:1727
9Club Leon W1783632:3327
10Atletico San Luis W1774624:2725
11UNAM Pumas W1772835:3223
12Atlas W1764728:3322
13Club Tijuana W17431019:3315
14Queretaro W17341017:5013
15Santos Laguna W17331119:4012
16Necaxa W1722139:408
17Puebla W1713138:436
18Mazatlan FC W1702159:582
Promotion - Liga MX Women 2025/2026 (Apertura - Play Offs)