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Atletic Escaldes vs Penya

Andorra Andorra

Primera Divisió 2025/2026 Estadi Comunal, Andorra la Vella
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Berlanga D.
40'
Llorente D.
44'
Assoubre J. L.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Divisió 2025/2026 game between Atletic Escaldes and Penya finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletic Escaldes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Atletic Escaldes
30%
Draws
23%
Penya
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Atletic Escaldes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Atletic Escaldes come out ahead of Penya on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Primera Divisió 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Atletic Escaldes here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Atletic Escaldes Clean Sheet 20%
Penya Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletic Escaldes Penya
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 17 8
Draws 3 5
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.73 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Primera Divisió
Penya vs Atletic Escaldes
1:1
May 17, 2026 Primera Divisió
Atletic Escaldes vs Penya
2:0
Dec 14, 2025 Primera Divisió
Atletic Escaldes vs Penya
2:0
Nov 1, 2025 Primera Divisió
Penya vs Atletic Escaldes
0:2
Mar 30, 2025 Primera Divisió
Atletic Escaldes vs Penya
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletic Escaldes Compare

Top Goalscorer Berlanga D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Assoubre J. L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Penya Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletic Escaldes 31 / 100
Penya 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletic Escaldes Penya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletic Escaldes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletic Escaldes scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Penya's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Penya has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Atletic Escaldes VS Penya
1.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletic Escaldes

(Home)
12 Sept
Atletic Escaldes
4 : 1
Sporting Escaldes
09 Sept
Inter Escaldes
2 : 0
Atletic Escaldes
06 Sept
Penya
1 : 1
Atletic Escaldes
30 Jul
Atletic Escaldes
0 : 2
Vaduz
23 Jul
Vaduz
4 : 0
Atletic Escaldes
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Penya

(Away)
19 Sept
Carroi
2 : 2
Penya
13 Sept
FC Santa Coloma
4 : 0
Penya
06 Sept
Penya
1 : 1
Atletic Escaldes
17 May
Atletic Escaldes
2 : 0
Penya
10 May
Penya
1 : 2
FC Rangers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter Escaldes 24 17 3 4 47:24 54
2 UE Santa Coloma 24 14 6 4 42:16 48
3 FC Rangers 24 15 3 6 46:22 48
4 FC Santa Coloma 24 13 5 6 45:20 44
5 Atletic Escaldes 24 10 4 10 31:26 34
6 Penya 24 7 3 14 19:41 24
7 Ordino 24 6 4 14 27:42 22
8 Carroi 24 4 5 15 15:55 17
9 Esperanca 24 3 5 16 18:44 14
10 Pas de la Casa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Primera Divisió 2025/2026 (Relegation)