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Atletic Escaldes vs Penya

Andorra Andorra

Primera Divisió Estadi Comunal
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Berlanga D.
40'
Llorente D.
44'
Assoubre J. L.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Divisió game between Atletic Escaldes and Penya finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletic Escaldes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Atletic Escaldes
6%
Draws
4%
Penya
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Atletic Escaldes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Atletic Escaldes come out ahead of Penya on wins alone.
  • Model gives Atletic Escaldes a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primera Divisió form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Atletic Escaldes here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Atletic Escaldes Clean Sheet 20%
Penya Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletic Escaldes Penya
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 16 8
Draws 3 4
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.5 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Primera Divisió
Atletic Escaldes vs Penya
2:0
Dec 14, 2025 Primera Divisió
Atletic Escaldes vs Penya
2:0
Nov 1, 2025 Primera Divisió
Penya vs Atletic Escaldes
0:2
Mar 30, 2025 Primera Divisió
Atletic Escaldes vs Penya
1:0
Dec 15, 2024 Primera Divisió
Atletic Escaldes vs Penya
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletic Escaldes Compare

Top Goalscorer Berlanga D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Assoubre J. L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Penya Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletic Escaldes 85 / 100
Penya 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletic Escaldes Penya

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ATL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletic Escaldes scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Penya's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Atletic Escaldes remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Atletic Escaldes VS Penya
1.5 Goals Scored 0.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Inter Escaldes24173447:2454
2UE Santa Coloma24146442:1648
3FC Rangers24153646:2248
4FC Santa Coloma24135645:2044
5Atletic Escaldes241041031:2634
6Penya24731419:4124
7Ordino24641427:4222
8Carroi24451515:5517
9Esperanca24351618:4414
10Pas de la Casa00000:00