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Atletico Arteixo vs Celtiga

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Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Blanco Farina M.
64'
Otero A.
90' Event
Berrocal M.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 game between Atletico Arteixo and Celtiga finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Atletico Arteixo
30%
Draws
8%
Celtiga
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Atletico Arteixo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Atletico Arteixo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 62% — that's where the model lands on Atletico Arteixo taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Atletico Arteixo Clean Sheet 68%
Celtiga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Arteixo Celtiga
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 8
Draws 8 7
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 1.62 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Celtiga vs Atletico Arteixo
2:3
Jan 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Atletico Arteixo vs Celtiga
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Arteixo Compare

Top Goalscorer Berrocal M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Celtiga Compare

Top Goalscorer Blanco Farina M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Arteixo 86 / 100
Celtiga 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Arteixo Celtiga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico Arteixo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Arteixo's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Celtiga's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Atletico Arteixo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Arteixo VS Celtiga
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Arteixo

(Home)
20 Sept
Viveiro
0 : 1
Atletico Arteixo
12 Sept
Atletico Arteixo
1 : 1
Estradense
05 Sept
Racing Club Villalbes
0 : 0
Atletico Arteixo
07 Jun
Compostela
2 : 1
Atletico Arteixo
31 May
Atletico Arteixo
2 : 1
Compostela
Page 1 of 6

Celtiga

(Away)
19 Sept
Racing Club Villalbes
3 : 2
Celtiga
12 Sept
Celtiga
0 : 2
CD Boiro
06 Sept
Silva SD
1 : 1
Celtiga
10 May
Arosa SC
3 : 2
Celtiga
01 May
Celtiga
2 : 3
Atletico Arteixo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arosa SC 34 20 10 4 58:35 70
2 Compostela 34 19 11 4 55:28 68
3 Atletico Arteixo 34 16 10 8 54:44 58
4 Estradense 34 14 11 9 46:33 53
5 Racing Club Villalbes 34 13 13 8 36:29 52
6 Gran Pena 34 13 12 9 57:42 51
7 Somozas 34 13 12 9 37:32 51
8 CD Boiro 34 13 12 9 45:29 51
9 Lugo B 34 12 12 10 41:35 48
10 Montaneros 34 12 12 10 48:42 48
11 Barco 34 13 7 14 35:41 46
12 Alondras 34 12 9 13 45:48 45
13 Celtiga 34 11 7 16 47:48 40
14 Viveiro 34 9 11 14 27:41 38
15 Silva SD 34 9 9 16 36:48 36
16 Cambados 34 4 14 16 24:43 26
17 Noia 34 6 7 21 28:57 25
18 Barbadas-Bentraces 34 4 7 23 25:69 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)