Sport Picks

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Atletico Bermejo vs Vaca Diez

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2022
Atletico Bermejo Logo

Atletico Bermejo

0 - 3
FT
Vaca Diez Logo

Vaca Diez

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-3, with Vaca Diez advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

78%
Atletico Bermejo
15%
Draws
7%
Vaca Diez
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atletico Bermejo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Atletico Bermejo come out ahead of Vaca Diez on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Atletico Bermejo's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Atletico Bermejo have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Vaca Diez, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Atletico Bermejo Clean Sheet 16%
Vaca Diez Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Bermejo Vaca Diez
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 13 8
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 1.43 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.77 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2022 Copa Simon Bolivar
Atletico Bermejo vs Vaca Diez
0:3
Oct 6, 2022 Copa Simon Bolivar
Vaca Diez vs Atletico Bermejo
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Bermejo 84 / 100
Vaca Diez 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Bermejo Vaca Diez

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico Bermejo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Bermejo's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Vaca Diez conceded in 78% of 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Atletico Bermejo has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Bermejo VS Vaca Diez
1.67 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
67% Over 1.5 100%
67% Over 2.5 88%
33% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Bermejo

(Home)
12 Nov
Real Potosi
3 : 1
Atletico Bermejo
05 Nov
Atletico Bermejo
1 : 0
Real Potosi
22 Oct
San Lorenzo del Beni
0 : 3
Atletico Bermejo
15 Oct
Atletico Bermejo
1 : 0
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
01 Oct
Atletico Bermejo
5 : 2
San Lorenzo del Beni
Page 1 of 6

Vaca Diez

(Away)
21 Sept
Vaca Diez
0 : 0
Wilstermann Cooperativas
15 Sept
Vaca Diez
1 : 3
3 de Febrero
06 Sept
Academia del Balompie
5 : 0
Vaca Diez
31 Aug
3 de Febrero
3 : 0
Vaca Diez
25 Aug
Vaca Diez
1 : 4
Academia del Balompie
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Atletico Bermejo 0
Vaca Diez 6
Real Oruro 1
Fatic 3
Cerveceria 2
Deportivo Juva 4
Nueva Cliza 1
Destroyers 2
24 de Septiembre 3
Garcia Agreda 2
Sur-Car 6
Mariscal Sucre 2
Libertad Gran Mamore 6
Academia del Balompie 2
Enrique Happ 3
Stormers SC 2
Quarter-finals
Vaca Diez 4
Fatic 3
Deportivo Juva 1
Destroyers 2
24 de Septiembre 4
Sur-Car 3
Libertad Gran Mamore 4
Enrique Happ 0
Semi-finals
Vaca Diez 4
Destroyers 3
24 de Septiembre 6
Libertad Gran Mamore 8
Final
Vaca Diez 3
Libertad Gran Mamore 2