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Atletico Cearense U20 vs Alianca Futebol Clube U20

Brazil Brazil

Cearense U20 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Clebison
14' Event
Falcao S.
27' Event
Hudson A.

AI Match Summary

The Cearense U20 2025 game between Atletico Cearense U20 and Alianca Futebol Clube U20 finished 5-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico Cearense U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Atletico Cearense U20
39%
Draws
31%
Alianca Futebol Clube U20
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Atletico Cearense U20 come out ahead of Alianca Futebol Clube U20 on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Cearense U20 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Atletico Cearense U20 here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Atletico Cearense U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Alianca Futebol Clube U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Cearense U20 Alianca Futebol Clube U20
Matches Played 30 26
Wins 9 6
Draws 7 6
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 0.63 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.63 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2025 Cearense U20
Atletico Cearense U20 vs Alianca Futebol Clube U20
5:2
Jul 17, 2024 Cearense U20
Atletico Cearense U20 vs Alianca Futebol Clube U20
0:0
Jun 29, 2024 Cearense U20
Alianca Futebol Clube U20 vs Atletico Cearense U20
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Cearense U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Clebison
2 Goals
Assists Leader Falcao S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Alianca Futebol Clube U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Hudson A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Oliveira G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Cearense U20 31 / 100
Alianca Futebol Clube U20 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Cearense U20 Alianca Futebol Clube U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ACE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.33 goals when they meet.

Atletico Cearense U20 scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Alianca Futebol Clube U20 has conceded goals in 77% of their last 26 outings.

Solid form: Atletico Cearense U20 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Cearense U20 VS Alianca Futebol Clube U20
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.5
38% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Cearense U20

(Home)
18 Jul
Atletico Cearense U20
1 : 2
Anjos do Ceu U20
20 Jun
Ceara U20
2 : 1
Atletico Cearense U20
05 Jun
Horizonte U20
2 : 1
Atletico Cearense U20
22 May
Atletico Cearense U20
0 : 0
Tirol U20
09 May
Atletico Cearense U20
1 : 0
Tiangua EC U20
Page 1 of 6

Alianca Futebol Clube U20

(Away)
18 Jul
Alianca Futebol Clube U20
3 : 2
Vila Real U20
08 Jul
Anjos do Ceu U20
4 : 3
Alianca Futebol Clube U20
03 Jul
Tirol U20
5 : 0
Alianca Futebol Clube U20
20 Jun
Alianca Futebol Clube U20
3 : 0
Tiangua EC U20
06 Jun
Caucaia U20
0 : 0
Alianca Futebol Clube U20
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League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ceara U20861127:619
2Floresta EC U20851216:216
3Caucaia U20841310:1013
4Ferroviario U20733113:512
5Horizonte U20832311:911
6Anjos do Ceu U2083059:249
7Alianca Futebol Clube U2082159:197
Promotion - Cearense U20 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Fortaleza U20761021:219
2Quixada U2074128:913
3Tirol U20733111:512
4Atletico Cearense U20732210:811
5Pacatuba U20730411:149
6Itapipoca U2071246:105
7Itarema U2070075:280
8Esporte Limoeiro U2060063:190
Promotion - Cearense U20 2025 (Play Offs)