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Atletico CP vs Lusitano GC Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Liga 3 2025/2026 Estádio da Tapadinha, Lisbon
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Nicolas Souza
Assist: Dias R.
33'
Santana C.
36'
Dias R.

AI Match Summary

Atletico CP in this Liga 3 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atletico CP.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Atletico CP
20%
Draws
24%
Lusitano GC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Atletico CP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Atletico CP have won more games recently than Lusitano GC.
  • Atletico CP are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Atletico CP have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Atletico CP Clean Sheet 68%
Lusitano GC Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico CP Lusitano GC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 10
Draws 4 8
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.33 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Liga 3
Lusitano GC vs Atletico CP
0:1
May 2, 2026 Liga 3
Lusitano GC vs Atletico CP
0:1
Feb 15, 2026 Liga 3
Atletico CP vs Lusitano GC
3:0
Dec 13, 2025 Liga 3
Atletico CP vs Lusitano GC
1:0
Sep 13, 2025 Liga 3
Lusitano GC vs Atletico CP
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico CP Compare

Top Goalscorer Nicolas Souza
2 Goals
Assists Leader Hernandez S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Lusitano GC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico CP 95 / 100
Lusitano GC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico CP Lusitano GC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico CP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lusitano GC has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Atletico CP scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Atletico CP went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Atletico CP VS Lusitano GC
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico CP

(Home)
19 Sept
Atletico CP
4 : 1
Lagoa
13 Sept
CF Os Belenenses
1 : 0
Atletico CP
06 Sept
Atletico CP
3 : 1
Oliveirense
29 Aug
Montijo
0 : 4
Atletico CP
22 Aug
Covilha
0 : 3
Atletico CP
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Lusitano GC

(Away)
12 Sept
Lusitano GC
2 : 2
Covilha
06 Sept
Louletano
1 : 0
Lusitano GC
30 Aug
Lusitano GC
1 : 2
CF Os Belenenses
22 Aug
Lusitano GC
2 : 1
Mafra
16 Aug
Caldas SC
0 : 0
Lusitano GC
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