Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atletico Grau vs Deportivo Garcilaso

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Estadio Campeones del 36, Sullana
Our Tip

Match Events

35'
Salazar A.
45'
Rodas E.
47'
Guarderas R.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga 1 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Atletico Grau
39%
Draws
31%
Deportivo Garcilaso
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Atletico Grau haven't matched Deportivo Garcilaso's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Atletico Grau Clean Sheet 68%
Deportivo Garcilaso Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Grau Deportivo Garcilaso
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 7 10
Draws 7 7
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.38 1.63
Goals Conceded 1 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Liga 1
Atletico Grau vs Deportivo Garcilaso
0:0
Aug 6, 2025 Liga 1
Atletico Grau vs Deportivo Garcilaso
1:1
Feb 28, 2025 Liga 1
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Atletico Grau
2:0
Oct 22, 2024 Liga 1
Atletico Grau vs Deportivo Garcilaso
2:2
May 12, 2024 Liga 1
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Atletico Grau
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Grau 41 / 100
Deportivo Garcilaso 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Grau Deportivo Garcilaso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GRA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportivo Garcilaso let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Solid form: Atletico Grau remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Deportivo Garcilaso's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Grau VS Deportivo Garcilaso
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Grau

(Home)
25 Jul
Sport Huancayo
2 : 0
Atletico Grau
18 Jul
Atletico Grau
3 : 1
Cajamarca
09 Jul
Atletico Grau
2 : 1
Carlos Mannucci
26 Jun
Universitario de Deportes
1 : 1
Atletico Grau
22 Jun
Atletico Grau
3 : 2
Pirata
Page 1 of 6

Deportivo Garcilaso

(Away)
27 Jul
Deportivo Garcilaso
2 : 1
FC Cajamarca
17 Jul
Sporting Cristal
1 : 0
Deportivo Garcilaso
12 Jul
Moquegua
1 : 0
Deportivo Garcilaso
29 Jun
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 1
Binacional
21 Jun
Cienciano
2 : 1
Deportivo Garcilaso
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1A. Lima17124130:840
2Los Chankas17104325:2134
3Cienciano17103434:2233
4Universitario de Deportes1785424:1529
5FBC Melgar1784529:2028
6Cusco1783621:2427
7Deportivo Garcilaso1775521:1826
8Alianza Atl.1756620:1821
9Comerciantes Unidos1756618:2021
10AD Tarma1755722:2120
11Sport Boys1755715:1920
12Sporting Cristal1754828:3019
13Cajamarca1746721:2618
14Moquegua1753917:2418
15FC Cajamarca1745823:2817
16Atletico Grau1744912:1816
17Sport Huancayo1744921:3116
18Juan Pablo II1744922:4016
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)