Sport Picks
Atletico La Paz vs Dorados de Sinaloa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Mexico
Liga de Expansion MX Estadio Guaycura, La Paz 
Match Events
6'
6'
Castro J.
10'
10'
Sub
Alvarez J. In: Vaal J.
Out: Alvarez J.
22'
22'
Barragan M.
AI Match Summary
Atletico La Paz in this Liga de Expansion MX matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atletico La Paz.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
63%
20%
17%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Atletico La Paz
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
63%
/ High Confidence
- Atletico La Paz have won more games recently than Dorados de Sinaloa.
- Win probability leans Atletico La Paz's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Liga de Expansion MX form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Atletico La Paz Clean Sheet 17%
Dorados de Sinaloa Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Atletico La Paz | Dorados de Sinaloa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 7 |
| Draws | 11 | 8 |
| Losses | 6 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 1.37 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.50 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 31, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Atletico La Paz vs Dorados de Sinaloa
3:0
Feb 8, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Dorados de Sinaloa vs Atletico La Paz
2:2
Aug 30, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Atletico La Paz vs Dorados de Sinaloa
3:1
Apr 12, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Atletico La Paz vs Dorados de Sinaloa
0:0
Oct 27, 2024 Liga de Expansion MX
Dorados de Sinaloa vs Atletico La Paz
4:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Atletico La Paz Compare
Top Goalscorer Barragan M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Millan O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25
Dorados de Sinaloa Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Atletico La Paz 84 / 100
Dorados de Sinaloa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Atletico La Paz Dorados de Sinaloa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Atletico La Paz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Atletico La Paz found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (30 games).
Dorados de Sinaloa let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.
Solid form: Atletico La Paz remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Atletico La Paz VS Dorados de Sinaloa
2.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Atletico La Paz
(Home) 12 Nov
Piratas
1 : 1 Atletico La Paz
08 Nov
Atletico La Paz
3 : 3 Tlaxcala
05 Nov
Tlaxcala
0 : 1 Atletico La Paz
31 Oct
Atletico La Paz
3 : 0 Dorados de Sinaloa
25 Oct
Jaiba Brava
1 : 3 Atletico La Paz
Page 1 of 6
08 Nov
Atletico La Paz
3 : 3 Tlaxcala
31 Oct
Atletico La Paz
3 : 0 Dorados de Sinaloa
17 Oct
Atletico La Paz
2 : 2 Tlaxcala
03 Oct
Atletico La Paz
1 : 2 Venados FC
19 Sept
Atletico La Paz
3 : 1 Correcaminos
Page 1 of 3
Dorados de Sinaloa
(Away) 31 Oct
Atletico La Paz
3 : 0 Dorados de Sinaloa
25 Oct
Dorados de Sinaloa
0 : 5 Piratas
17 Oct
Correcaminos
1 : 2 Dorados de Sinaloa
11 Oct
Dorados de Sinaloa
1 : 3 Cruz Azul Hidalgo
04 Oct
Leones Negros
6 : 3 Dorados de Sinaloa
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
Atletico La Paz
3 : 0 Dorados de Sinaloa
17 Oct
Correcaminos
1 : 2 Dorados de Sinaloa
04 Oct
Leones Negros
6 : 3 Dorados de Sinaloa
20 Sept
Jaiba Brava
1 : 1 Dorados de Sinaloa
04 Sept
Tepatitlan de Morelos
1 : 4 Dorados de Sinaloa
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico La Paz | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 36:18 | 30 |
| 2 | Leones Negros | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 34:20 | 30 |
| 3 | Club Atletico Morelia | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 26:19 | 26 |
| 4 | Piratas | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27:15 | 25 |
| 5 | Cancun | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28:18 | 25 |
| 6 | Venados FC | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 31:25 | 25 |
| 7 | Alacranes de Durango | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21:15 | 24 |
| 8 | Tlaxcala | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 29:27 | 22 |
| 9 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 15:25 | 22 |
| 10 | Zacatecas Mineros | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 26:26 | 18 |
| 11 | Tapatio | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 25:28 | 18 |
| 12 | Correcaminos | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 21:24 | 17 |
| 13 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 23:32 | 16 |
| 14 | Jaiba Brava | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 15:25 | 15 |
| 15 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17:24 | 14 |
| 16 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 15 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 11:44 | 7 |
Promotion - Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura - Play Offs)
