Sport Picks
Atletico La Paz vs Tlaxcala - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Mexico
Liga de Expansion MX Estadio Guaycura, La Paz 
Match Events
1'
1'
Barragan M.
Assist: Zurita Jimenez U.
6'
6'
Gonzalez P.
13'
13'
Alvarez D.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 3-3. This leg finished 3-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
38%
35%
27%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Atletico La Paz
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
38%
/ Low Confidence
- Tlaxcala haven't matched Atletico La Paz's recent run of results.
- 38% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Atletico La Paz have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Atletico La Paz, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Atletico La Paz Clean Sheet 11%
Tlaxcala Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Atletico La Paz | Tlaxcala |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 10 |
| Draws | 9 | 10 |
| Losses | 6 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 1.57 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 8, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Atletico La Paz vs Tlaxcala
3:3
Nov 5, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Tlaxcala vs Atletico La Paz
0:1
Oct 17, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Atletico La Paz vs Tlaxcala
2:2
Mar 8, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Atletico La Paz vs Tlaxcala
2:0
Sep 28, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Tlaxcala vs Atletico La Paz
3:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Atletico La Paz Compare
Top Goalscorer Barragan M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ferrer J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Tlaxcala Compare
Top Goalscorer Robles E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Hernandez D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Atletico La Paz 29 / 100
Tlaxcala 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Atletico La Paz Tlaxcala
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Atletico La Paz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Atletico La Paz scored in 93% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.
Atletico La Paz went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Tlaxcala's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.
Scoring Trends
Atletico La Paz VS Tlaxcala
2.63 Goals Scored 2.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Atletico La Paz
(Home) 08 Nov
Atletico La Paz
3 : 3 Tlaxcala
05 Nov
Tlaxcala
0 : 1 Atletico La Paz
31 Oct
Atletico La Paz
3 : 0 Dorados de Sinaloa
25 Oct
Jaiba Brava
1 : 3 Atletico La Paz
17 Oct
Atletico La Paz
2 : 2 Tlaxcala
Page 1 of 6
08 Nov
Atletico La Paz
3 : 3 Tlaxcala
31 Oct
Atletico La Paz
3 : 0 Dorados de Sinaloa
17 Oct
Atletico La Paz
2 : 2 Tlaxcala
03 Oct
Atletico La Paz
1 : 2 Venados FC
19 Sept
Atletico La Paz
3 : 1 Correcaminos
Page 1 of 4
Tlaxcala
(Away) 08 Nov
Atletico La Paz
3 : 3 Tlaxcala
05 Nov
Tlaxcala
0 : 1 Atletico La Paz
31 Oct
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
0 : 2 Tlaxcala
25 Oct
Tlaxcala
2 : 0 Correcaminos
17 Oct
Atletico La Paz
2 : 2 Tlaxcala
Page 1 of 6
08 Nov
Atletico La Paz
3 : 3 Tlaxcala
31 Oct
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
0 : 2 Tlaxcala
17 Oct
Atletico La Paz
2 : 2 Tlaxcala
04 Oct
Club Atletico Morelia
1 : 1 Tlaxcala
20 Sept
Tapatio
4 : 0 Tlaxcala
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
Quarter-finals
Atletico La Paz 4
Tlaxcala 3
Piratas 2
Cancun 2
Leones Negros 2
Alacranes de Durango 2
Club Atletico Morelia 4
Venados FC 2
Semi-finals
Atletico La Paz -
Piratas -
Leones Negros -
Club Atletico Morelia -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
