Sport Picks

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Atletico Nacional vs Plaza Amador

Panama Panama

LPF 2025 COS Sports Plaza, Panama City
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Diaz S.
20' Event
Rios H.
21'
Perez Marin P. A.

AI Match Summary

Plaza Amador in this LPF 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Plaza Amador.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Atletico Nacional
44%
Draws
20%
Plaza Amador
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Atletico Nacional haven't matched Plaza Amador's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular LPF 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Plaza Amador have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Atletico Nacional Clean Sheet 13%
Plaza Amador Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Nacional Plaza Amador
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 17
Draws 8 8
Losses 16 5
Goals Scored 0 2.25
Goals Conceded 0 1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2025 LPF
Atletico Nacional vs Plaza Amador
2:5
May 7, 2017 LPF
Atletico Nacional vs Plaza Amador
0:4
Mar 11, 2017 LPF
Plaza Amador vs Atletico Nacional
1:0
Nov 13, 2016 LPF
Plaza Amador vs Atletico Nacional
2:1
Sep 10, 2016 LPF
Atletico Nacional vs Plaza Amador
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Nacional Compare

Top Goalscorer Diaz S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rivera J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Plaza Amador Compare

Top Goalscorer Phillips R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Rios H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Nacional 35 / 100
Plaza Amador 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Nacional Plaza Amador

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PLA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Plaza Amador let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Atletico Nacional remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Atletico Nacional's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Plaza Amador
0 Goals Scored 2.25
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Nacional

(Home)
08 Nov
Atletico Nacional
0 : 2
Independiente
31 Oct
Herrera
0 : 1
Atletico Nacional
26 Oct
Atletico Nacional
2 : 0
Union Deportivo Universitario
21 Oct
Veraguas
2 : 3
Atletico Nacional
12 Oct
San Francisco
2 : 2
Atletico Nacional
Page 1 of 6

Plaza Amador

(Away)
25 Jul
Arabe Unido
2 : 2
Plaza Amador
23 May
Plaza Amador
3 : 2
Alianza
16 May
Plaza Amador
3 : 0
UMECIT
10 May
UMECIT
2 : 2
Plaza Amador
03 May
Arabe Unido
0 : 3
Plaza Amador
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Plaza Amador16113237:1736
2Alianza1684425:1928
3Sporting San Miguelito1667317:1225
4Arabe Unido1666418:1324
5UMECIT1665516:1823
6Tauro1634917:2813
Promotion - LPF 2025 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - LPF 2025 (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1San Francisco1667321:1625
2Independiente1665522:1723
3Union Deportivo Universitario1647514:1719
4Veraguas1653819:2318
5Atletico Nacional1645722:3117
6Herrera16141110:277
Promotion - LPF 2025 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - LPF 2025 (Clausura - Play Offs)