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Atletico Ottawa vs Cavalry

Canada Canada

Canadian Premier League TD Place Stadium, Ottawa, ON
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Match Events

4'
Ntignee G.
9' Event
Camargo S.
Assist: Elva C.
17' Event
Ntignee G.

AI Match Summary

The Canadian Premier League game between Atletico Ottawa and Cavalry finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cavalry.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Atletico Ottawa
20%
Draws
61%
Cavalry
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cavalry

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cavalry come out ahead of Atletico Ottawa on wins alone.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on Cavalry taking it.
  • Regular Canadian Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Atletico Ottawa Clean Sheet 10%
Cavalry Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Ottawa Cavalry
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 18
Draws 5 7
Losses 12 4
Goals Scored 1.48 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.86 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Cavalry vs Atletico Ottawa
3:1
Jul 4, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Atletico Ottawa vs Cavalry
0:3
Apr 12, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Cavalry vs Atletico Ottawa
3:1
Nov 9, 2025 Canadian Premier League
Atletico Ottawa vs Cavalry
2:1
Sep 27, 2025 Canadian Premier League
Atletico Ottawa vs Cavalry
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Ottawa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Cavalry Compare

Top Goalscorer Camargo S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ntignee G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Ottawa 10 / 100
Cavalry 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Ottawa Cavalry

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cavalry Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Atletico Ottawa scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Cavalry conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Atletico Ottawa stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Ottawa VS Cavalry
1.88 Goals Scored 2.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Ottawa

(Home)
20 Sept
Atletico Ottawa
0 : 2
Supra du Quebec
12 Sept
Forge FC
3 : 0
Atletico Ottawa
05 Sept
Atletico Ottawa
0 : 0
Pacific FC
28 Aug
Atletico Ottawa
2 : 1
Inter Toronto
22 Aug
Cavalry
3 : 1
Atletico Ottawa
Page 1 of 6

Cavalry

(Away)
19 Sept
Cavalry
1 : 1
Forge FC
13 Sept
Pacific FC
0 : 1
Cavalry
07 Sept
HFX Wanderers
1 : 3
Cavalry
29 Aug
Cavalry
1 : 0
Vancouver FC
22 Aug
Cavalry
3 : 1
Atletico Ottawa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cavalry 22 15 5 2 42:13 50
2 Forge FC 22 14 4 4 34:16 46
3 Atletico Ottawa 22 10 4 8 34:37 34
4 Vancouver FC 23 9 4 10 31:29 31
5 HFX Wanderers 22 6 5 11 31:37 23
6 Inter Toronto 20 5 8 7 29:42 23
7 Supra du Quebec 21 6 4 11 29:38 22
8 Pacific FC 22 1 8 13 26:44 11
Promotion - Canadian Premier League (Play Offs)