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Atletico Paso vs Ursaria

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
Kata N.
61'
Perez M.
65'
Rojo P.

AI Match Summary

Atletico Paso in this Segunda RFEF - Group 5 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atletico Paso.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Atletico Paso
20%
Draws
60%
Ursaria
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ursaria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Atletico Paso have won more games recently than Ursaria.
  • Win probability leans Ursaria's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 5 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Atletico Paso Clean Sheet 29%
Ursaria Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Paso Ursaria
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 11
Draws 13 5
Losses 4 14
Goals Scored 1.32 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.58 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Ursaria vs Atletico Paso
0:1
Nov 26, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Atletico Paso vs Ursaria
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Paso Compare

Top Goalscorer Kata N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sissokho M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Ursaria Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Paso 30 / 100
Ursaria 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Paso Ursaria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ursaria Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Paso scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Ursaria's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Ursaria's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Paso VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
0.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Paso

(Home)
19 Sept
Atletico Paso
0 : 1
Atl. Madrid C
13 Sept
Puertollano C.F.
0 : 0
Atletico Paso
06 Sept
Atletico Paso
0 : 2
Numancia
07 Aug
Algeciras
1 : 0
Atletico Paso
10 May
Herbania
1 : 1
Atletico Paso
Page 1 of 7

Ursaria

(Away)
05 May
Ursaria
1 : 0
Villanovense
28 Apr
Navalcarnero
2 : 1
Ursaria
21 Apr
Ursaria
0 : 1
Numancia
14 Apr
Illescas
1 : 2
Ursaria
07 Apr
Ursaria
0 : 1
Atletico Paso
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gimnastica Segoviana 34 17 10 7 46:27 61
2 San Sebastian Reyes 34 16 13 5 61:26 61
3 Numancia 34 18 6 10 51:39 60
4 Getafe B 34 15 12 7 41:32 57
5 Atletico Paso 34 15 11 8 28:21 56
6 Cacereno 34 12 13 9 43:37 49
7 Union Adarve 34 12 12 10 44:44 48
8 Navalcarnero 34 11 13 10 34:35 46
9 CF Talavera 34 12 10 12 31:27 46
10 Guadalajara 34 14 4 16 46:53 46
11 Villanovense 34 12 8 14 35:35 44
12 Ursaria 34 12 8 14 34:39 44
13 Illescas 34 11 11 12 34:32 44
14 AD Llerenense 34 12 8 14 31:36 44
15 UD San Fernando 34 9 11 14 31:43 38
16 CD Badajoz 34 8 13 13 35:39 37
17 Mensajero 34 5 10 19 28:58 25
18 Montijo 34 6 5 23 28:58 23
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2023/2024 (Promotion - Play Offs)