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Atletico Sucre vs Deportivo Aleman

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atletico Sucre in this Nacional B 2023 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atletico Sucre.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Atletico Sucre
6%
Draws
4%
Deportivo Aleman
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Atletico Sucre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Deportivo Aleman have won more games recently than Atletico Sucre.
  • Atletico Sucre are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Atletico Sucre Clean Sheet 68%
Deportivo Aleman Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Sucre Deportivo Aleman
Matches Played 20 30
Wins 6 8
Draws 4 5
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 3 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.33 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.33 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
Atletico Sucre vs Deportivo Aleman
5:1
Jun 18, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
Deportivo Aleman vs Atletico Sucre
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Sucre 95 / 100
Deportivo Aleman 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Sucre Deportivo Aleman

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ATL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Sucre's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 20 recent games.

Deportivo Aleman has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Atletico Sucre went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Sucre VS Deportivo Aleman
3 Goals Scored 1.38
1.33 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
67% Over 2.5 63%
67% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Sucre

(Home)
16 Jul
Atletico Sucre
5 : 1
Deportivo Aleman
12 Jul
Independiente Recreo
2 : 3
Atletico Sucre
02 Jul
Atletico Sucre
1 : 1
Nacional Sucre
25 Jun
Atletico Sucre
1 : 2
Fancesa
18 Jun
Deportivo Aleman
3 : 0
Atletico Sucre
Page 1 of 4

Deportivo Aleman

(Away)
03 Nov
Oruro Royal
5 : 1
Deportivo Aleman
06 Oct
Deportivo Aleman
0 : 3
Oruro Royal
22 Sept
Tiquipaya
2 : 1
Deportivo Aleman
15 Sept
Deportivo Aleman
1 : 0
Alianza Beni
08 Sept
Deportivo Aleman
1 : 1
Moto Club
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Universitario Beni642011:314
2San Lorenzo del Beni62316:89
3Alianza Beni61324:46
4Los Almendros60245:112
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Fancesa853019:418
2Nacional Sucre834112:913
3Deportivo Aleman841312:1113
4Atletico Sucre832317:1511
5Independiente Recreo80086:270
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1San Antonio Bulo Bulo852117:517
2Pasion Celeste834112:713
3Real Mizque83418:713
4Enrique Happ824212:710
5Israel University80084:270
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Fatic853024:718
2Academia del Balompie833224:912
3Hiska Nacional833212:1012
4Chaco Petrolero833215:1412
5Huayna Potosi Palcoco80087:42-2
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1GV San Jose862023:720
2Sur-Car841317:1513
3Real Oruro833220:912
4Em Huanuni822415:128
5CM Poopo81074:363
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Universitario de Pando22007:26
2Real Mapajo20022:70
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Real Potosi650112:215
2Stormers SL632110:211
3Rosario Central62137:67
4Huracan Tupiza60150:191
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz861125:819
2Torre Fuerte850315:715
324 de Septiembre833214:1212
4River 6681259:225
5Universidad Crucena81256:205
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Municipal de Tarija851216:816
2Municipalidad de Yacuiba842214:1414
3Atletico Bermejo841312:713
4Ciclon81434:87
5Garcia Agreda80445:144
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams