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Atletico Victoria vs San Bartolome

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Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atletico Victoria play San Bartolome in the Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Atletico Victoria averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. San Bartolome averaged 1.02 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. In past meetings, Atletico Victoria won 1, San Bartolome won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 12, 2024 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Atletico Victoria and 0.80 for San Bartolome. This points to a San Bartolome double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Atletico Victoria
34%
Draws
34%
San Bartolome
Draw rate projection: 34% Favored: San Bartolome

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Atletico Victoria picked up more points recently compared to San Bartolome.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 0.80 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 43%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
Atletico Victoria Clean Sheet 26%
San Bartolome Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 60%
Second Half Goal 64%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Victoria San Bartolome
Matches Played 30 44
Wins 7 13
Draws 8 17
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 0.97 1.02
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.3

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Atletico Victoria vs San Bartolome
2:1
Jan 20, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
San Bartolome vs Atletico Victoria
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Victoria Compare

Top Goalscorer Cristo D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

San Bartolome Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernandez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Victoria 34 / 100
San Bartolome 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Victoria San Bartolome

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: San Bartolome or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +33.4%
4.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.1%
2.70
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Atletico Victoria attacking → ← attacking San Bartolome

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Victoria scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

San Bartolome let in goals in 61% of their last 44 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Atletico Victoria went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

San Bartolome lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

29 Points in last 5 56
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.50
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Tenerife B34248268:2280
2Lanzarote34229364:2875
3Union Sur Yaiza342111262:1974
4Las Palmas B34228474:2474
5Panaderia341510952:3955
6Arucas341114951:4147
7CD Santa Ursula3410131135:3843
8San Bartolome3410121243:4242
9Villa Santa Brigida349141141:3641
10Tamaraceite341181542:5641
11CD Marino341091542:5339
12CD Buzanada349121329:4239
13Herbania349111430:4638
14Ibarra34991635:4536
15Atletico Victoria34881833:5332
16Teror34682029:6726
17Gran Tarajal344121821:5424
18CD La Cuadra34642426:7222