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Atromitos vs PAOK - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Greek Cup Peristeri Stadium, Athens
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Mythou A.
Assist: Kenny J.
28'
Pnevmonidis S.
46'
Sub
Lyratzis L. In: Mountes M.
Out: Lyratzis L.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Atromitos
20%
Draws
47%
PAOK
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: PAOK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and PAOK come out ahead of Atromitos on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • PAOK arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor PAOK, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and PAOK have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Atromitos Clean Sheet 17%
PAOK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atromitos PAOK
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 15
Draws 7 7
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.47 1.94
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Greek Cup
Atromitos vs PAOK
0:1
Aug 30, 2026 Super League
Atromitos vs PAOK
1:2
Jan 6, 2026 Greek Cup
PAOK vs Atromitos
2:1
Dec 14, 2025 Super League
Atromitos vs PAOK
2:0
Aug 31, 2025 Super League
PAOK vs Atromitos
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atromitos Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

PAOK Compare

Top Goalscorer Mythou A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atromitos 31 / 100
PAOK 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atromitos PAOK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atromitos scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

PAOK's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Atromitos stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atromitos VS PAOK
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Atromitos

(Home)
08 Nov
OFI Crete
0 : 0
Atromitos
02 Nov
Atromitos
3 : 0
Volos
29 Oct
Volos
1 : 3
Atromitos
25 Oct
Aris
3 : 1
Atromitos
10 Oct
Asteras Tripolis
2 : 1
Atromitos
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PAOK

(Away)
08 Nov
Olympiacos Piraeus
1 : 1
PAOK
01 Nov
PAOK
2 : 1
Asteras Tripolis
28 Oct
PAOK
3 : 1
AEK
25 Oct
OFI Crete
2 : 1
PAOK
18 Oct
PAOK
2 : 1
Iraklis FC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olympiacos Piraeus 3 3 0 0 9:2 9
2 Panathinaikos 3 3 0 0 5:1 9
3 PAOK 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
4 AEK 3 2 0 1 11:4 6
5 Atromitos 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
6 Kalamata 3 1 2 0 5:3 5
7 OFI Crete 3 1 1 1 3:1 4
8 Asteras Tripolis 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
9 Kifisia 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
10 Aris 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
11 AEL Larissa 3 1 1 1 2:5 4
12 Niki Volos 3 1 0 2 1:4 3
13 Volos 3 0 1 2 5:8 1
14 Marko 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
15 Chrisoupolis 3 0 0 3 0:7 0
16 Panserraikos 3 0 0 3 1:10 0
Promotion - Greek Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Greek Cup (Play Offs)