Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atromitos vs PAOK

Greece Greece

Greek Cup Peristeri Stadium, Athens
Atromitos Logo

Atromitos

0 - 1
FT
PAOK Logo

PAOK

Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Mythou A.
Assist: Kenny J.
28'
Pnevmonidis S.
46'
Sub
Lyratzis L. In: Mountes M.
Out: Lyratzis L.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Atromitos
30%
Draws
47%
PAOK
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: PAOK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and PAOK come out ahead of Atromitos on wins alone.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • PAOK arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor PAOK, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and PAOK have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Atromitos Clean Sheet 17%
PAOK Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atromitos PAOK
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 11 15
Draws 8 9
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.4 1.91
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Greek Cup
Atromitos vs PAOK
0:1
Aug 30, 2026 Super League
Atromitos vs PAOK
1:2
Jan 6, 2026 Greek Cup
PAOK vs Atromitos
2:1
Dec 14, 2025 Super League
Atromitos vs PAOK
2:0
Aug 31, 2025 Super League
PAOK vs Atromitos
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atromitos Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

PAOK Compare

Top Goalscorer Mythou A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atromitos 31 / 100
PAOK 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atromitos PAOK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAOK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atromitos scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

PAOK's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Atromitos stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atromitos VS PAOK
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Atromitos

(Home)
19 Sept
Atromitos
1 : 2
Kifisia
16 Sept
Atromitos
0 : 1
PAOK
12 Sept
Iraklis FC
1 : 1
Atromitos
06 Sept
Atromitos
1 : 1
Kalamata
02 Sept
Panserraikos
0 : 1
Atromitos
Page 1 of 6

PAOK

(Away)
16 Sept
Atromitos
0 : 1
PAOK
13 Sept
PAOK
2 : 0
Aris
06 Sept
Panathinaikos
3 : 1
PAOK
02 Sept
PAOK
0 : 0
OFI Crete
30 Aug
Atromitos
1 : 2
PAOK
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AEK 2 2 0 0 10:1 6
2 Olympiacos Piraeus 2 2 0 0 7:2 6
3 Panathinaikos 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
4 Asteras Tripolis 2 1 1 0 4:1 4
5 OFI Crete 2 1 1 0 3:0 4
6 Aris 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
7 PAOK 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
8 Atromitos 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
9 Kalamata 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
10 Volos 2 0 1 1 4:5 1
11 Marko 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
12 Kifisia 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
13 AEL Larissa 2 0 1 1 1:5 1
14 Niki Volos 2 0 0 2 0:4 0
15 Chrisoupolis 2 0 0 2 0:5 0
16 Panserraikos 2 0 0 2 1:9 0
Promotion - Greek Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Greek Cup (Play Offs)