Sport Picks

Stadium Background

ATSV Erlangen vs 1. FC Sand

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Nord 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Bayern Nord 2021/2022 game between ATSV Erlangen and 1. FC Sand finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward ATSV Erlangen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
ATSV Erlangen
22%
Draws
18%
1. FC Sand
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: ATSV Erlangen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • ATSV Erlangen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • ATSV Erlangen are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Oberliga Bayern Nord 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
ATSV Erlangen Clean Sheet 12%
1. FC Sand Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ATSV Erlangen 1. FC Sand
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 9 4
Draws 6 3
Losses 17 23
Goals Scored 0.75 0
Goals Conceded 2.5 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2022 Oberliga Bayern Nord
ATSV Erlangen vs 1. FC Sand
5:0
Sep 18, 2021 Oberliga Bayern Nord
1. FC Sand vs ATSV Erlangen
0:2
Sep 19, 2020 Oberliga Bayern Nord
1. FC Sand vs ATSV Erlangen
1:0
Aug 10, 2019 Oberliga Bayern Nord
ATSV Erlangen vs 1. FC Sand
4:1
May 11, 2019 Oberliga Bayern Nord
1. FC Sand vs ATSV Erlangen
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ATSV Erlangen 56 / 100
1. FC Sand 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ATSV Erlangen 1. FC Sand

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ERL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

1. FC Sand has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

ATSV Erlangen found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (32 games).

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

1. FC Sand's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

ATSV Erlangen VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
2.5 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

ATSV Erlangen

(Home)
25 May
ATSV Erlangen
0 : 1
Grossbardorf
21 May
Grossbardorf
2 : 0
ATSV Erlangen
16 May
ATSV Erlangen
3 : 3
Bayern Hof
08 May
Regensburg II
3 : 2
ATSV Erlangen
25 Apr
Stadeln
1 : 0
ATSV Erlangen
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1. FC Sand

(Away)
21 May
1. FC Sand
6 : 2
ASV Neumarkt
14 May
Karlburg
2 : 1
1. FC Sand
07 May
1. FC Sand
0 : 7
Vilzing
04 May
1. FC Sand
0 : 1
Gebenbach
30 Apr
Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg
3 : 1
1. FC Sand
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vilzing34263589:2681
2Ansbach34263589:3281
3ATSV Erlangen34233877:4072
4Bamberg34215882:3568
5ASV Neumarkt341941170:5161
6DJK Don Bosco Bamberg341751268:5956
7Gebenbach341571274:6352
8DJK Ammerthal341641469:7152
9Abtswind341631549:5451
10Feucht341551457:4650
11Grossbardorf341351656:6044
12Bayern Hof341161755:6939
13Cham34952046:7632
14Wurzburger FV34871944:7031
15Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg34871936:7131
16Karlburg346121624:5530
17SV Seligenporten34632540:9621
181. FC Sand34552430:8120
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2021/2022 (Relegation)